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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Mandela Barnes 54%

Francesca Hong 32.7%

Sara Rodriguez 10%

David Crowley 3.4%

Polymarket

$55,321 Vol.

Mandela Barnes 54%

Francesca Hong 32.7%

Sara Rodriguez 10%

David Crowley 3.4%

Polymarket

$55,321 Vol.

Mandela Barnes

$9,330 Vol.

54%

Francesca Hong

$8,059 Vol.

33%

Sara Rodriguez

$10,480 Vol.

10%

David Crowley

$3,335 Vol.

3%

Zachary Roper

$1,645 Vol.

1%

Chris Larson

$8,733 Vol.

1%

Kelda Roys

$2,360 Vol.

1%

Joel Brennan

$2,415 Vol.

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,796 Vol.

<1%

Melissa Agard

$2,203 Vol.

<1%

Tom Nelson

$1,645 Vol.

<1%

Missy Hughes

$1,735 Vol.

<1%

Brett Hulsey

$1,631 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54% implied probability, reflecting his superior name recognition from statewide service and the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, positioning him ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong's 33% amid a fragmented field. Recent Marquette University Law School polls from late February and March showed the pair leading decided Democratic primary voters but with 65% undecided, underscoring low voter engagement five months from the August 11 primary. Barnes bolstered his standing with a key April endorsement from Collective PAC, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 11% faces electability critiques from rivals, and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley lags at 4%. Fundraising reports and upcoming debates could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,321
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54% implied probability, reflecting his superior name recognition from statewide service and the 2022 U.S. Senate campaign, positioning him ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong's 33% amid a fragmented field. Recent Marquette University Law School polls from late February and March showed the pair leading decided Democratic primary voters but with 65% undecided, underscoring low voter engagement five months from the August 11 primary. Barnes bolstered his standing with a key April endorsement from Collective PAC, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 11% faces electability critiques from rivals, and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley lags at 4%. Fundraising reports and upcoming debates could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,321
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mandela Barnes" sa 54%, sinusundan ng "Francesca Hong" sa 33%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 54¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $55.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 11, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Mandela Barnes" sa 54%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 54% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Francesca Hong" sa 33%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.