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Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

icon for Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?
Halalan·Halalan Sa US

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

Mary Peltola 91.4%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.8%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,312 Vol.

Mary Peltola 91.4%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.8%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,312 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$17,455 Vol.

91%

icon for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$10,481 Vol.

9%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

Shirley Saucerman

$2,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$1,045 Vol.

<1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$947 Vol.

<1%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,493 Vol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$1,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$539 Vol.

<1%

Heather McElwain

$1,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$634 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary due to her status as the only Democrat with recent statewide success, combined with a substantial fundraising edge of nearly $7 million raised since April compared to incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan’s $2 million. The August 18 top-four primary features 16 candidates, including multiple lesser-known or decoy entrants that fragment Republican support and boost the former representative’s position as the clear frontrunner in voter recognition and organizational strength. This trader consensus reflects Peltola’s path to topping the initial ballot under Alaska’s election system. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters or major last-minute revelations could still alter the outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,312
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in the Alaska Senate primary due to her status as the only Democrat with recent statewide success, combined with a substantial fundraising edge of nearly $7 million raised since April compared to incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan’s $2 million. The August 18 top-four primary features 16 candidates, including multiple lesser-known or decoy entrants that fragment Republican support and boost the former representative’s position as the clear frontrunner in voter recognition and organizational strength. This trader consensus reflects Peltola’s path to topping the initial ballot under Alaska’s election system. Late developments such as unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters or major last-minute revelations could still alter the outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$44,312
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Kaugnay

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Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 16 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mary Peltola" sa 91%, sinusundan ng "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" sa 9%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 91¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" ay naka-generate ng $44.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?," i-browse ang 16 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" ay "Mary Peltola" sa 91%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 91% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" sa 9%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.