Michigan’s open Senate seat features a closely contested matchup following the August 4 primaries, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers each securing their parties’ nominations. El-Sayed prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary that included Haley Stevens, positioning him as the nominee in a state with a slight Democratic lean in recent cycles. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side and carries prior congressional experience plus notable endorsements. Post-primary polling, including a Fox News survey, shows the race within the margin of error, with narrow leads shifting based on likely-voter screens. Traders appear to weigh Michigan’s swing-state electoral dynamics, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and the three-month general election window ahead of November 3, resulting in the current narrow implied probability edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$425,857 Vol.
$425,857 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
56%
Mike Rogers (R)
45%
$425,857 Vol.
$425,857 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$224,968 Vol.
56%
Mike Rogers (R)
$200,889 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s open Senate seat features a closely contested matchup following the August 4 primaries, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers each securing their parties’ nominations. El-Sayed prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary that included Haley Stevens, positioning him as the nominee in a state with a slight Democratic lean in recent cycles. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side and carries prior congressional experience plus notable endorsements. Post-primary polling, including a Fox News survey, shows the race within the margin of error, with narrow leads shifting based on likely-voter screens. Traders appear to weigh Michigan’s swing-state electoral dynamics, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and the three-month general election window ahead of November 3, resulting in the current narrow implied probability edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$425,857Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s open Senate seat features a closely contested matchup following the August 4 primaries, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers each securing their parties’ nominations. El-Sayed prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary that included Haley Stevens, positioning him as the nominee in a state with a slight Democratic lean in recent cycles. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side and carries prior congressional experience plus notable endorsements. Post-primary polling, including a Fox News survey, shows the race within the margin of error, with narrow leads shifting based on likely-voter screens. Traders appear to weigh Michigan’s swing-state electoral dynamics, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and the three-month general election window ahead of November 3, resulting in the current narrow implied probability edge.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$425,857Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s open Senate seat features a closely contested matchup following the August 4 primaries, with Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers each securing their parties’ nominations. El-Sayed prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary that included Haley Stevens, positioning him as the nominee in a state with a slight Democratic lean in recent cycles. Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side and carries prior congressional experience plus notable endorsements. Post-primary polling, including a Fox News survey, shows the race within the margin of error, with narrow leads shifting based on likely-voter screens. Traders appear to weigh Michigan’s swing-state electoral dynamics, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and the three-month general election window ahead of November 3, resulting in the current narrow implied probability edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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