Mississippi's solidly Republican political environment, combined with incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's renomination and consistent leads in available polling, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, Senate race. The state has not elected a Democratic senator in decades, and Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, a county district attorney, and independent Ty Pinkins trail significantly in forecasts rated safe or solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The 94.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical voting patterns. A runoff remains possible under Mississippi's majority-vote rule if the independent draws enough support to deny any candidate 50 percent, though current indicators show limited risk of that outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
7%
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$26,924 Vol.
94%
Democrat
$17,715 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's solidly Republican political environment, combined with incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's renomination and consistent leads in available polling, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, Senate race. The state has not elected a Democratic senator in decades, and Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, a county district attorney, and independent Ty Pinkins trail significantly in forecasts rated safe or solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The 94.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical voting patterns. A runoff remains possible under Mississippi's majority-vote rule if the independent draws enough support to deny any candidate 50 percent, though current indicators show limited risk of that outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$44,639Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's solidly Republican political environment, combined with incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's renomination and consistent leads in available polling, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, Senate race. The state has not elected a Democratic senator in decades, and Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, a county district attorney, and independent Ty Pinkins trail significantly in forecasts rated safe or solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The 94.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical voting patterns. A runoff remains possible under Mississippi's majority-vote rule if the independent draws enough support to deny any candidate 50 percent, though current indicators show limited risk of that outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$44,639Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's solidly Republican political environment, combined with incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's renomination and consistent leads in available polling, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026, Senate race. The state has not elected a Democratic senator in decades, and Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition. Democratic nominee Scott Colom, a county district attorney, and independent Ty Pinkins trail significantly in forecasts rated safe or solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The 94.5 percent Republican implied probability aligns with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical voting patterns. A runoff remains possible under Mississippi's majority-vote rule if the independent draws enough support to deny any candidate 50 percent, though current indicators show limited risk of that outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong