Scott Wiener holds a commanding position in the CA-11 House race following the November 3, 2026, general election, where he secured approximately 55 percent of the vote to Connie Chan’s 45 percent in the San Francisco-based Democratic stronghold. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement created an open seat after the June primary, in which Wiener outperformed Chan 41 percent to 30 percent. Wiener benefited from stronger fundraising, broader endorsements, and emphasis on housing production policies, while Chan, backed by Pelosi, focused on tenant protections and labor priorities. Chan conceded on November 5, citing no viable path to victory amid ongoing ballot counts. With final certification pending and no credible challenges from other candidates, trader consensus reflects these verified results, though late procedural adjustments remain theoretically possible.