Minnesota's long-standing Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate contests, including no Republican victory since 2002, underpins the strong trader consensus behind Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The August 11, 2026, primaries clarified the matchup, with Flanagan securing the Democratic nomination at 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig and Tafoya prevailing on the Republican side at 52 percent over multiple challengers. Early general-election polling and historical turnout patterns in this battleground state have reinforced expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold on the open seat vacated by Tina Smith. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, significant campaign missteps by Flanagan, or unusually high conservative mobilization in rural areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's long-standing Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate contests, including no Republican victory since 2002, underpins the strong trader consensus behind Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The August 11, 2026, primaries clarified the matchup, with Flanagan securing the Democratic nomination at 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig and Tafoya prevailing on the Republican side at 52 percent over multiple challengers. Early general-election polling and historical turnout patterns in this battleground state have reinforced expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold on the open seat vacated by Tina Smith. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, significant campaign missteps by Flanagan, or unusually high conservative mobilization in rural areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$47,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's long-standing Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate contests, including no Republican victory since 2002, underpins the strong trader consensus behind Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The August 11, 2026, primaries clarified the matchup, with Flanagan securing the Democratic nomination at 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig and Tafoya prevailing on the Republican side at 52 percent over multiple challengers. Early general-election polling and historical turnout patterns in this battleground state have reinforced expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold on the open seat vacated by Tina Smith. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, significant campaign missteps by Flanagan, or unusually high conservative mobilization in rural areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,494Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's long-standing Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate contests, including no Republican victory since 2002, underpins the strong trader consensus behind Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan. The August 11, 2026, primaries clarified the matchup, with Flanagan securing the Democratic nomination at 59 percent against Rep. Angie Craig and Tafoya prevailing on the Republican side at 52 percent over multiple challengers. Early general-election polling and historical turnout patterns in this battleground state have reinforced expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold on the open seat vacated by Tina Smith. Factors that could narrow the gap include a national Republican surge, significant campaign missteps by Flanagan, or unusually high conservative mobilization in rural areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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