The GA-12 House race features incumbent Republican Rick Allen against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election. Traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to an outright first-round winner due to the district’s R+7 partisan lean and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, which reduce the chance of a close contest requiring additional rounds under Georgia election procedures. Allen secured the Republican nomination with 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced after winning the June Democratic runoff, leaving limited time or structural factors for shifts before Election Day. No recent polling changes, candidate developments, or legal actions have altered baseline expectations in this solidly Republican seat.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update95% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
95% tsansa
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.The GA-12 House race features incumbent Republican Rick Allen against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election. Traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to an outright first-round winner due to the district’s R+7 partisan lean and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, which reduce the chance of a close contest requiring additional rounds under Georgia election procedures. Allen secured the Republican nomination with 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced after winning the June Democratic runoff, leaving limited time or structural factors for shifts before Election Day. No recent polling changes, candidate developments, or legal actions have altered baseline expectations in this solidly Republican seat.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.The GA-12 House race features incumbent Republican Rick Allen against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election. Traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to an outright first-round winner due to the district’s R+7 partisan lean and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, which reduce the chance of a close contest requiring additional rounds under Georgia election procedures. Allen secured the Republican nomination with 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced after winning the June Democratic runoff, leaving limited time or structural factors for shifts before Election Day. No recent polling changes, candidate developments, or legal actions have altered baseline expectations in this solidly Republican seat.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Volume
$298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The GA-12 House race features incumbent Republican Rick Allen against Democratic nominee Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election. Traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to an outright first-round winner due to the district’s R+7 partisan lean and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, which reduce the chance of a close contest requiring additional rounds under Georgia election procedures. Allen secured the Republican nomination with 83% in the May primary, while Smith advanced after winning the June Democratic runoff, leaving limited time or structural factors for shifts before Election Day. No recent polling changes, candidate developments, or legal actions have altered baseline expectations in this solidly Republican seat.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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