KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base, and organizational depth compared with newer or recovering parties. Recent VTsIOM polling has shown New People briefly overtaking KPRF and LDPR in national ratings around 12-13 percent, reflecting modest gains among urban and younger voters, yet analysts note these figures rarely translate directly into final results given KPRF's superior grassroots networks and experience in single-mandate districts. LDPR has stabilized following its leadership transition but trails in most surveys, while smaller parties face barriers clearing the five-percent threshold. The recent barring of Yabloko further narrows systemic options without altering the established hierarchy among registered parliamentary parties. Traders price these structural advantages and limited recent shifts as decisive for KPRF securing runner-up status behind United Russia.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.9%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,851 Vol.
$313,851 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
9%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
New People (NL) 8.9%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,851 Vol.
$313,851 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

New People (NL)
9%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF maintains overwhelming trader consensus for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, historical voter base, and organizational depth compared with newer or recovering parties. Recent VTsIOM polling has shown New People briefly overtaking KPRF and LDPR in national ratings around 12-13 percent, reflecting modest gains among urban and younger voters, yet analysts note these figures rarely translate directly into final results given KPRF's superior grassroots networks and experience in single-mandate districts. LDPR has stabilized following its leadership transition but trails in most surveys, while smaller parties face barriers clearing the five-percent threshold. The recent barring of Yabloko further narrows systemic options without altering the established hierarchy among registered parliamentary parties. Traders price these structural advantages and limited recent shifts as decisive for KPRF securing runner-up status behind United Russia.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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