Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's dominance in Democratic primary polls (61% in April University of New Hampshire survey) and narrow general election leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John Sununu (49%-42% in that poll). Recent fundraising reports show Pappas holding a cash advantage, bolstering his path in this battleground state where Democrats have held both Senate seats since 2017. The GOP primary remains crowded with Sununu leading Scott Brown, potentially leading to a bruising contest ahead of the September 8 primaries, while national headwinds like high gas prices highlight Pappas's gas tax suspension bill. Odds diverge from some statistical ties in earlier Emerson polling, underscoring bettors' emphasis on Pappas's incumbency-like popularity and historical base rates favoring Democrats in NH federal races.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$25,686 Vol.
$25,686 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
82%
Republican
45%
$25,686 Vol.
$25,686 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,381 Vol.
82%
Republican
$8,304 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's dominance in Democratic primary polls (61% in April University of New Hampshire survey) and narrow general election leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John Sununu (49%-42% in that poll). Recent fundraising reports show Pappas holding a cash advantage, bolstering his path in this battleground state where Democrats have held both Senate seats since 2017. The GOP primary remains crowded with Sununu leading Scott Brown, potentially leading to a bruising contest ahead of the September 8 primaries, while national headwinds like high gas prices highlight Pappas's gas tax suspension bill. Odds diverge from some statistical ties in earlier Emerson polling, underscoring bettors' emphasis on Pappas's incumbency-like popularity and historical base rates favoring Democrats in NH federal races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$25,686Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's dominance in Democratic primary polls (61% in April University of New Hampshire survey) and narrow general election leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John Sununu (49%-42% in that poll). Recent fundraising reports show Pappas holding a cash advantage, bolstering his path in this battleground state where Democrats have held both Senate seats since 2017. The GOP primary remains crowded with Sununu leading Scott Brown, potentially leading to a bruising contest ahead of the September 8 primaries, while national headwinds like high gas prices highlight Pappas's gas tax suspension bill. Odds diverge from some statistical ties in earlier Emerson polling, underscoring bettors' emphasis on Pappas's incumbency-like popularity and historical base rates favoring Democrats in NH federal races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,686Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement has opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, but trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Rep. Chris Pappas's dominance in Democratic primary polls (61% in April University of New Hampshire survey) and narrow general election leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John Sununu (49%-42% in that poll). Recent fundraising reports show Pappas holding a cash advantage, bolstering his path in this battleground state where Democrats have held both Senate seats since 2017. The GOP primary remains crowded with Sununu leading Scott Brown, potentially leading to a bruising contest ahead of the September 8 primaries, while national headwinds like high gas prices highlight Pappas's gas tax suspension bill. Odds diverge from some statistical ties in earlier Emerson polling, underscoring bettors' emphasis on Pappas's incumbency-like popularity and historical base rates favoring Democrats in NH federal races.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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