Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district and enters the November general election against Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Gosar’s prior 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, combined with the district’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic fundraising or polling presence, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The race has drawn little national attention or outside spending since primaries concluded. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment shifting turnout in this battleground state.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$25,588 Vol.
$25,588 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$25,588 Vol.
$25,588 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,146 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,442 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district and enters the November general election against Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Gosar’s prior 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, combined with the district’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic fundraising or polling presence, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The race has drawn little national attention or outside spending since primaries concluded. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment shifting turnout in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$25,588Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district and enters the November general election against Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Gosar’s prior 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, combined with the district’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic fundraising or polling presence, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The race has drawn little national attention or outside spending since primaries concluded. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment shifting turnout in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,588Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party nomination in the July 2026 primary for Arizona’s 9th congressional district and enters the November general election against Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Gosar’s prior 2024 margin exceeding 30 points, combined with the district’s consistent partisan tilt and limited Democratic fundraising or polling presence, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The race has drawn little national attention or outside spending since primaries concluded. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment shifting turnout in this battleground state.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong