Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party's nomination in an uncontested July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky and independent William Perry in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Gosar's prior reelection margin above 65 percent, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Republican outcome price. Limited Democratic fundraising visibility and absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced positioning ahead of the general election cycle. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events within the final months, or unusually high turnout changes, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for major movement before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$25,171 Vol.
$25,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
4%
$25,171 Vol.
$25,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,146 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,025 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party's nomination in an uncontested July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky and independent William Perry in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Gosar's prior reelection margin above 65 percent, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Republican outcome price. Limited Democratic fundraising visibility and absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced positioning ahead of the general election cycle. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events within the final months, or unusually high turnout changes, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for major movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$25,171Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party's nomination in an uncontested July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky and independent William Perry in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Gosar's prior reelection margin above 65 percent, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Republican outcome price. Limited Democratic fundraising visibility and absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced positioning ahead of the general election cycle. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events within the final months, or unusually high turnout changes, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for major movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,171Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar secured the party's nomination in an uncontested July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 9th congressional district, facing Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky and independent William Perry in the November 3 general election. The district's consistent Republican performance, including Gosar's prior reelection margin above 65 percent, anchors trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent Republican outcome price. Limited Democratic fundraising visibility and absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced positioning ahead of the general election cycle. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen national political developments, candidate-specific events within the final months, or unusually high turnout changes, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for major movement before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong