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Politika·Berlin

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politika·Berlin

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 62%

Stefan Evers 28%

Werner Graf 7.2%

Steffen Krach 3.3%

Polymarket

$129,980 Vol.

Elif Eralp 62%

Stefan Evers 28%

Werner Graf 7.2%

Steffen Krach 3.3%

Polymarket

$129,980 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$72,319 Vol.

62%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$36,013 Vol.

28%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$15,589 Vol.

7%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$3,305 Vol.

3%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,753 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp, Die Linke’s lead candidate, holds the strongest position in trader consensus for Berlin’s next governing mayor ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election. Recent polling shows her party competitive or ahead, buoyed by emphasis on affordable housing, rent controls, and social justice themes that resonate amid voter frustration with established parties. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal, trails as the center-right option focused on fiscal management and restoring public trust. Other contenders—including Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD—register lower probabilities, reflecting fragmented support and coalition uncertainties. The market resolves based on the individual officially sworn in following coalition negotiations, with no interim or caretaker counting toward settlement.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,980
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp, Die Linke’s lead candidate, holds the strongest position in trader consensus for Berlin’s next governing mayor ahead of the September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election. Recent polling shows her party competitive or ahead, buoyed by emphasis on affordable housing, rent controls, and social justice themes that resonate amid voter frustration with established parties. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal, trails as the center-right option focused on fiscal management and restoring public trust. Other contenders—including Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD—register lower probabilities, reflecting fragmented support and coalition uncertainties. The market resolves based on the individual officially sworn in following coalition negotiations, with no interim or caretaker counting toward settlement.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,980
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Elif Eralp" sa 62%, sinusundan ng "Stefan Evers" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 62¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay naka-generate ng $130K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 11, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay "Elif Eralp" sa 62%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefan Evers" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.