**AfD secured the largest share of seats in two of the three German state elections held in September 2026, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on outcome 2.** Saxony-Anhalt voted on September 6, where AfD captured roughly 44% and finished well ahead of the CDU. Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania followed on September 20, with AfD at approximately 38% ahead of the SPD. In Berlin the same day, Die Linke led with around 25% while AfD placed lower. These eastern-state results reflect sustained voter shifts toward AfD on immigration enforcement, economic concerns, and dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-led government, consistent with the party’s national polling strength. Other parties’ refusal to form coalitions with AfD has not altered the seat-plurality outcome. Late adjustments to final tallies or differing interpretations of “most seats” remain the only realistic paths that could alter the count, though current verified results align tightly with the dominant market position.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
3 <1%
$204,060 Vol.
$204,060 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
No
1
No
2
Yes
3
No
2 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
3 <1%
$204,060 Vol.
$204,060 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$15,758 Vol.
No
1
$59,566 Vol.
No
2
$82,599 Vol.
Yes
3
$46,137 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. **AfD secured the largest share of seats in two of the three German state elections held in September 2026, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on outcome 2.**
Saxony-Anhalt voted on September 6, where AfD captured roughly 44% and finished well ahead of the CDU. Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania followed on September 20, with AfD at approximately 38% ahead of the SPD. In Berlin the same day, Die Linke led with around 25% while AfD placed lower.
These eastern-state results reflect sustained voter shifts toward AfD on immigration enforcement, economic concerns, and dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-led government, consistent with the party’s national polling strength. Other parties’ refusal to form coalitions with AfD has not altered the seat-plurality outcome. Late adjustments to final tallies or differing interpretations of “most seats” remain the only realistic paths that could alter the count, though current verified results align tightly with the dominant market position.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$204,060Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market. **AfD secured the largest share of seats in two of the three German state elections held in September 2026, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on outcome 2.**
Saxony-Anhalt voted on September 6, where AfD captured roughly 44% and finished well ahead of the CDU. Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania followed on September 20, with AfD at approximately 38% ahead of the SPD. In Berlin the same day, Die Linke led with around 25% while AfD placed lower.
These eastern-state results reflect sustained voter shifts toward AfD on immigration enforcement, economic concerns, and dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-led government, consistent with the party’s national polling strength. Other parties’ refusal to form coalitions with AfD has not altered the seat-plurality outcome. Late adjustments to final tallies or differing interpretations of “most seats” remain the only realistic paths that could alter the count, though current verified results align tightly with the dominant market position.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
Volume
$204,060Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**AfD secured the largest share of seats in two of the three German state elections held in September 2026, driving the market’s near-certain pricing on outcome 2.** Saxony-Anhalt voted on September 6, where AfD captured roughly 44% and finished well ahead of the CDU. Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania followed on September 20, with AfD at approximately 38% ahead of the SPD. In Berlin the same day, Die Linke led with around 25% while AfD placed lower. These eastern-state results reflect sustained voter shifts toward AfD on immigration enforcement, economic concerns, and dissatisfaction with the federal CDU-led government, consistent with the party’s national polling strength. Other parties’ refusal to form coalitions with AfD has not altered the seat-plurality outcome. Late adjustments to final tallies or differing interpretations of “most seats” remain the only realistic paths that could alter the count, though current verified results align tightly with the dominant market position.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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