Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during an operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. He faces federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, money laundering, and corruption, to which he has pleaded not guilty, with his trial scheduled to begin in June 2027. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has demanded his release through diplomatic channels, including at the UN Human Rights Council, but U.S. authorities have held him under special administrative measures with no reported plea negotiations or extradition developments in recent months. These factors sustain trader consensus on low near-term release odds, though scheduled court proceedings or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela bilateral talks could alter positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$2,687,688 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Disyembre 31
7%
$2,687,688 Vol.
Disyembre 31
$292,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during an operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. He faces federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, money laundering, and corruption, to which he has pleaded not guilty, with his trial scheduled to begin in June 2027. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has demanded his release through diplomatic channels, including at the UN Human Rights Council, but U.S. authorities have held him under special administrative measures with no reported plea negotiations or extradition developments in recent months. These factors sustain trader consensus on low near-term release odds, though scheduled court proceedings or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela bilateral talks could alter positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,688Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during an operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. He faces federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, money laundering, and corruption, to which he has pleaded not guilty, with his trial scheduled to begin in June 2027. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has demanded his release through diplomatic channels, including at the UN Human Rights Council, but U.S. authorities have held him under special administrative measures with no reported plea negotiations or extradition developments in recent months. These factors sustain trader consensus on low near-term release odds, though scheduled court proceedings or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela bilateral talks could alter positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,688Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces during an operation in Caracas, alongside his wife Cilia Flores. He faces federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, money laundering, and corruption, to which he has pleaded not guilty, with his trial scheduled to begin in June 2027. Venezuela’s interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez has demanded his release through diplomatic channels, including at the UN Human Rights Council, but U.S. authorities have held him under special administrative measures with no reported plea negotiations or extradition developments in recent months. These factors sustain trader consensus on low near-term release odds, though scheduled court proceedings or shifts in U.S.-Venezuela bilateral talks could alter positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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