Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 due to her appointment as acting president by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice in January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated support from the military high command and the PSUV, while advancing economic cooperation with the United States, including major oil sector agreements. This rapid stabilization and external backing have sidelined opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González. Late developments that could shift probabilities include scheduled elections, internal elite fractures, or changes in U.S. policy that alter incentives for continuity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDelcy Rodríguez 95%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Marco Rubio 1.0%
No Head of State <1%
$390,840 Vol.
$390,840 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 95%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Marco Rubio 1.0%
No Head of State <1%
$390,840 Vol.
$390,840 Vol.
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Binuksan ang Market: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Venezuela’s de facto leadership at the end of 2026 due to her appointment as acting president by the Supreme Tribunal of Justice in January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. She has since consolidated support from the military high command and the PSUV, while advancing economic cooperation with the United States, including major oil sector agreements. This rapid stabilization and external backing have sidelined opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González. Late developments that could shift probabilities include scheduled elections, internal elite fractures, or changes in U.S. policy that alter incentives for continuity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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