Colorado's eight House districts stand evenly split at four seats each following the 2024 results, with Democrats holding the solidly Democratic 1st, 2nd, 6th, and 7th districts while Republicans control the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 8th. Trader consensus around five Democratic seats reflects the view that one competitive Republican-held district—most likely the 8th or potentially the 3rd—remains the primary target for a flip, supported by the 8th's narrow 2024 margin and the 3rd's R+5 lean. The 28.5% price on six seats incorporates added volatility in the 3rd after former President Trump's withdrawal of endorsement from incumbent Jeff Hurd over tariff-related votes, which boosted a primary challenger and could improve Democratic general-election prospects. The lower probabilities on seven or more seats align with the limited number of truly competitive Republican districts and the structural barriers in the more conservative 4th and 5th. No congressional redistricting is underway, leaving the independent commission map from the prior cycle in place for November 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update5 40%
6 29%
7+ 22%
4 13%
<4
1%
4
13%
5
40%
6
29%
7+
22%
5 40%
6 29%
7+ 22%
4 13%
<4
1%
4
13%
5
40%
6
29%
7+
22%
All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...All Colorado US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Colorado's eight House districts stand evenly split at four seats each following the 2024 results, with Democrats holding the solidly Democratic 1st, 2nd, 6th, and 7th districts while Republicans control the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 8th. Trader consensus around five Democratic seats reflects the view that one competitive Republican-held district—most likely the 8th or potentially the 3rd—remains the primary target for a flip, supported by the 8th's narrow 2024 margin and the 3rd's R+5 lean. The 28.5% price on six seats incorporates added volatility in the 3rd after former President Trump's withdrawal of endorsement from incumbent Jeff Hurd over tariff-related votes, which boosted a primary challenger and could improve Democratic general-election prospects. The lower probabilities on seven or more seats align with the limited number of truly competitive Republican districts and the structural barriers in the more conservative 4th and 5th. No congressional redistricting is underway, leaving the independent commission map from the prior cycle in place for November 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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