Trump's established Truth Social activity patterns, including monthly averages of 18–27 posts per day in 2025–2026 with occasional single-day bursts exceeding 100 or even 160, form the core driver behind the 62.5% implied probability for 200+ posts in the August 11–18 window. Recent analyses of his output during periods of policy announcements, Iran-related developments, and domestic priorities show sustained high-volume engagement that aligns with the 180–199 range also trading near one-third. The week’s proximity to routine presidential communications and any unfolding events has reinforced trader consensus around elevated totals without evidence of a slowdown.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDonald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
200+ 63%
180-199 33%
160-179 2.2%
140-159 <1%
$52,807 Vol.
$52,807 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
33%
200+
63%
200+ 63%
180-199 33%
160-179 2.2%
140-159 <1%
$52,807 Vol.
$52,807 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
33%
200+
63%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's established Truth Social activity patterns, including monthly averages of 18–27 posts per day in 2025–2026 with occasional single-day bursts exceeding 100 or even 160, form the core driver behind the 62.5% implied probability for 200+ posts in the August 11–18 window. Recent analyses of his output during periods of policy announcements, Iran-related developments, and domestic priorities show sustained high-volume engagement that aligns with the 180–199 range also trading near one-third. The week’s proximity to routine presidential communications and any unfolding events has reinforced trader consensus around elevated totals without evidence of a slowdown.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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