Recent posting patterns and sustained platform engagement position the 160-219 tweet range as the market's tightest cluster, with each bin commanding roughly 18-20% implied probability. Elon Musk's activity often averages 25-30 posts daily when balancing Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and X-related updates, producing weekly totals in this band absent major disruptions. Daily variance remains the key swing factor—high-volume days exceeding 40 tweets, as seen recently, compete with quieter periods tied to travel or focused work—keeping adjacent ranges competitive rather than establishing a clear favorite. No single catalyst has shifted the distribution in the past week, leaving trader consensus anchored to this established rhythm ahead of the period's close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
220-239 13%
$187,442 Vol.
$187,442 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
10%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
13%
240-259
10%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
220-239 13%
$187,442 Vol.
$187,442 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$2,115 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$12,087 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$17,995 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$18,520 Vol.
1%
120-139
$12,228 Vol.
4%
140-159
$2,451 Vol.
10%
160-179
$4,747 Vol.
20%
180-199
$6,471 Vol.
21%
200-219
$1,952 Vol.
19%
220-239
$1,608 Vol.
13%
240-259
$2,974 Vol.
10%
260-279
$2,686 Vol.
5%
280-299
$8,244 Vol.
2%
300-319
$5,738 Vol.
1%
320-339
$2,212 Vol.
1%
340-359
$5,114 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$2,428 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$4,920 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$10,795 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$13,288 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$11,270 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$23,479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns and sustained platform engagement position the 160-219 tweet range as the market's tightest cluster, with each bin commanding roughly 18-20% implied probability. Elon Musk's activity often averages 25-30 posts daily when balancing Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and X-related updates, producing weekly totals in this band absent major disruptions. Daily variance remains the key swing factor—high-volume days exceeding 40 tweets, as seen recently, compete with quieter periods tied to travel or focused work—keeping adjacent ranges competitive rather than establishing a clear favorite. No single catalyst has shifted the distribution in the past week, leaving trader consensus anchored to this established rhythm ahead of the period's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$187,442Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent posting patterns and sustained platform engagement position the 160-219 tweet range as the market's tightest cluster, with each bin commanding roughly 18-20% implied probability. Elon Musk's activity often averages 25-30 posts daily when balancing Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and X-related updates, producing weekly totals in this band absent major disruptions. Daily variance remains the key swing factor—high-volume days exceeding 40 tweets, as seen recently, compete with quieter periods tied to travel or focused work—keeping adjacent ranges competitive rather than establishing a clear favorite. No single catalyst has shifted the distribution in the past week, leaving trader consensus anchored to this established rhythm ahead of the period's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$187,442Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent posting patterns and sustained platform engagement position the 160-219 tweet range as the market's tightest cluster, with each bin commanding roughly 18-20% implied probability. Elon Musk's activity often averages 25-30 posts daily when balancing Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and X-related updates, producing weekly totals in this band absent major disruptions. Daily variance remains the key swing factor—high-volume days exceeding 40 tweets, as seen recently, compete with quieter periods tied to travel or focused work—keeping adjacent ranges competitive rather than establishing a clear favorite. No single catalyst has shifted the distribution in the past week, leaving trader consensus anchored to this established rhythm ahead of the period's close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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