Elon Musk’s average weekly posting volume on X drives the tight clustering around 180–260 tweets, with no major product launches, political events, or company milestones confirmed for August 7–14 to push activity sharply higher or lower. Traders weigh his established pattern of frequent replies, memes, and company updates against occasional lulls during travel or focus periods, creating a narrow implied-probability band where 200–219 sits only slightly ahead of neighboring ranges. Historical precedents of 300-plus tweet weeks during high-engagement stretches contrast with quieter periods, keeping the field open until real-time activity in the target window begins to clarify momentum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
200-219 17%
380-399 15%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
7%
100-119
3%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
11%
180-199
15%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
14%
260-279
11%
280-299
9%
300-319
7%
320-339
5%
340-359
6%
360-379
6%
380-399
15%
400-419
11%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 17%
380-399 15%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
7%
100-119
3%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
11%
180-199
15%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
14%
260-279
11%
280-299
9%
300-319
7%
320-339
5%
340-359
6%
360-379
6%
380-399
15%
400-419
11%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s average weekly posting volume on X drives the tight clustering around 180–260 tweets, with no major product launches, political events, or company milestones confirmed for August 7–14 to push activity sharply higher or lower. Traders weigh his established pattern of frequent replies, memes, and company updates against occasional lulls during travel or focus periods, creating a narrow implied-probability band where 200–219 sits only slightly ahead of neighboring ranges. Historical precedents of 300-plus tweet weeks during high-engagement stretches contrast with quieter periods, keeping the field open until real-time activity in the target window begins to clarify momentum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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