Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs Avengers: Doomsday with a 73.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead tracking signals from The Hollywood Reporter and historical MCU precedents like Avengers: Endgame's record-shattering $357 million domestic debut. The Russo brothers' direction, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal in recent trailers, and a sprawling superhero ensemble amplify event-movie hype ahead of its December 18 release, despite clashing with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds second at 13.5% on Tom Holland's franchise pull and CinemaCon first-look buzz for its July 31 slot, while Toy Story 5 (June 19) draws Pixar family appeal but faces crowded summer competition. Early 2026 highs like Michael's $97 million biopic opening underscore the gap to Marvel-scale spectacles; watch presales for imminent Mandalorian & Grogu (May 22).
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAnong pelikula ang may pinakamalaking opening weekend sa 2026?
Anong pelikula ang may pinakamalaking opening weekend sa 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
Dune: Messiah 1.6%
$1,566,336 Vol.
$1,566,336 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian at Grogu
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
Toy Story 5 3.0%
Dune: Messiah 1.6%
$1,566,336 Vol.
$1,566,336 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
14%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian at Grogu
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs Avengers: Doomsday with a 73.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead tracking signals from The Hollywood Reporter and historical MCU precedents like Avengers: Endgame's record-shattering $357 million domestic debut. The Russo brothers' direction, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom reveal in recent trailers, and a sprawling superhero ensemble amplify event-movie hype ahead of its December 18 release, despite clashing with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds second at 13.5% on Tom Holland's franchise pull and CinemaCon first-look buzz for its July 31 slot, while Toy Story 5 (June 19) draws Pixar family appeal but faces crowded summer competition. Early 2026 highs like Michael's $97 million biopic opening underscore the gap to Marvel-scale spectacles; watch presales for imminent Mandalorian & Grogu (May 22).
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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