Recent daily posting activity on X, including 38 posts logged on August 3, anchors trader expectations for the narrow three-day window that includes a weekend. With main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts counting toward the total while replies are excluded, the market prices the 40-64 range as the slight favorite at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65-89 at 34%. This close contest reflects uncertainty over how much Elon Musk’s engagement typically drops on weekends versus sustained weekday momentum, alongside the absence of major company announcements or breaking news cycles expected to spike volume before resolution. Historical patterns of 30-plus daily posts during active periods support the balanced odds between the two leading bins, with lower and higher extremes remaining long shots.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 6 - August 8, 2026?
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 8, 2026
<40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
<40 15%
90-114 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 8, 2026
<40
$508 Vol.
15%
40-64
$235 Vol.
42%
65-89
$213 Vol.
34%
90-114
$59 Vol.
10%
115-139
$40 Vol.
2%
140-164
$60 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$0 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent daily posting activity on X, including 38 posts logged on August 3, anchors trader expectations for the narrow three-day window that includes a weekend. With main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts counting toward the total while replies are excluded, the market prices the 40-64 range as the slight favorite at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65-89 at 34%. This close contest reflects uncertainty over how much Elon Musk’s engagement typically drops on weekends versus sustained weekday momentum, alongside the absence of major company announcements or breaking news cycles expected to spike volume before resolution. Historical patterns of 30-plus daily posts during active periods support the balanced odds between the two leading bins, with lower and higher extremes remaining long shots.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,403Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent daily posting activity on X, including 38 posts logged on August 3, anchors trader expectations for the narrow three-day window that includes a weekend. With main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts counting toward the total while replies are excluded, the market prices the 40-64 range as the slight favorite at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65-89 at 34%. This close contest reflects uncertainty over how much Elon Musk’s engagement typically drops on weekends versus sustained weekday momentum, alongside the absence of major company announcements or breaking news cycles expected to spike volume before resolution. Historical patterns of 30-plus daily posts during active periods support the balanced odds between the two leading bins, with lower and higher extremes remaining long shots.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,403Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent daily posting activity on X, including 38 posts logged on August 3, anchors trader expectations for the narrow three-day window that includes a weekend. With main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts counting toward the total while replies are excluded, the market prices the 40-64 range as the slight favorite at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65-89 at 34%. This close contest reflects uncertainty over how much Elon Musk’s engagement typically drops on weekends versus sustained weekday momentum, alongside the absence of major company announcements or breaking news cycles expected to spike volume before resolution. Historical patterns of 30-plus daily posts during active periods support the balanced odds between the two leading bins, with lower and higher extremes remaining long shots.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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