Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus behind the 40-64 tweet range at 67.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show the platform’s owner typically averaging 15–20 posts daily during routine weeks, producing totals in that band for a three-day window. The 32.5% odds on fewer than 40 tweets reflect occasional lighter periods tied to travel or focus on other priorities, while the sub-2% pricing on 65-plus outcomes captures how rarely Musk sustains extreme volume over consecutive days. With the August 15–17 window now concluding, any final late-day activity could still nudge the exact count within the leading bracket before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
40-64 67%
<40 33%
65-89 1.7%
90-114 <1%
$309,126 Vol.
$309,126 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
33%
40-64
67%
65-89
2%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 67%
<40 33%
65-89 1.7%
90-114 <1%
$309,126 Vol.
$309,126 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$70,022 Vol.
33%
40-64
$41,437 Vol.
67%
65-89
$47,702 Vol.
2%
90-114
$63,818 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$48,694 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus behind the 40-64 tweet range at 67.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show the platform’s owner typically averaging 15–20 posts daily during routine weeks, producing totals in that band for a three-day window. The 32.5% odds on fewer than 40 tweets reflect occasional lighter periods tied to travel or focus on other priorities, while the sub-2% pricing on 65-plus outcomes captures how rarely Musk sustains extreme volume over consecutive days. With the August 15–17 window now concluding, any final late-day activity could still nudge the exact count within the leading bracket before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$309,126Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus behind the 40-64 tweet range at 67.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show the platform’s owner typically averaging 15–20 posts daily during routine weeks, producing totals in that band for a three-day window. The 32.5% odds on fewer than 40 tweets reflect occasional lighter periods tied to travel or focus on other priorities, while the sub-2% pricing on 65-plus outcomes captures how rarely Musk sustains extreme volume over consecutive days. With the August 15–17 window now concluding, any final late-day activity could still nudge the exact count within the leading bracket before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$309,126Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus behind the 40-64 tweet range at 67.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show the platform’s owner typically averaging 15–20 posts daily during routine weeks, producing totals in that band for a three-day window. The 32.5% odds on fewer than 40 tweets reflect occasional lighter periods tied to travel or focus on other priorities, while the sub-2% pricing on 65-plus outcomes captures how rarely Musk sustains extreme volume over consecutive days. With the August 15–17 window now concluding, any final late-day activity could still nudge the exact count within the leading bracket before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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