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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
Halalan·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
Halalan·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Samara 41%

Renan Santos 37%

Edmilson Costa 33%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Polymarket
BAGO

Samara 41%

Renan Santos 37%

Edmilson Costa 33%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

33%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

31%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Lula

Lula

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$23 Vol.

10%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

11%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$23
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).In Mato Grosso do Sul’s agribusiness-heavy electorate, trader odds reflect a fragmented first-round contest ahead of the October 4 vote, with no candidate holding a decisive edge. National polling shows President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro overall, yet the state’s conservative leanings and economic priorities boost right-leaning options including Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, while vote-splitting among multiple contenders keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent campaign launches on August 16, completed party conventions, and the absence of major late-breaking state-specific events have sustained this balance, with local turnout patterns and potential endorsements or regional economic signals likely to create separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$23
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?

49%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?

46%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?

74%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 13 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Samara" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "Renan Santos" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul," i-browse ang 13 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" ay "Samara" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Renan Santos" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.