The 88.5 percent implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory by the end of 2026 reflects sustained diplomatic and legal obstacles, even amid ongoing Arctic security talks. Recent negotiations with Denmark have focused on expanded U.S. military bases in Greenland, with limited discussion of sovereign designation for those sites, yet no formal transfer agreement or congressional action has advanced. President Trump’s January pledge at Davos to forgo military force or tariffs removed one escalation path, while a related House bill authorizing acquisition remains in early stages without Senate momentum. Broader constitutional requirements for territorial incorporation and allied opposition continue to constrain timelines before the December 31 resolution date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$22,962 Vol.
$22,962 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$22,962 Vol.
$22,962 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 88.5 percent implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory by the end of 2026 reflects sustained diplomatic and legal obstacles, even amid ongoing Arctic security talks. Recent negotiations with Denmark have focused on expanded U.S. military bases in Greenland, with limited discussion of sovereign designation for those sites, yet no formal transfer agreement or congressional action has advanced. President Trump’s January pledge at Davos to forgo military force or tariffs removed one escalation path, while a related House bill authorizing acquisition remains in early stages without Senate momentum. Broader constitutional requirements for territorial incorporation and allied opposition continue to constrain timelines before the December 31 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$22,962Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 88.5 percent implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory by the end of 2026 reflects sustained diplomatic and legal obstacles, even amid ongoing Arctic security talks. Recent negotiations with Denmark have focused on expanded U.S. military bases in Greenland, with limited discussion of sovereign designation for those sites, yet no formal transfer agreement or congressional action has advanced. President Trump’s January pledge at Davos to forgo military force or tariffs removed one escalation path, while a related House bill authorizing acquisition remains in early stages without Senate momentum. Broader constitutional requirements for territorial incorporation and allied opposition continue to constrain timelines before the December 31 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,962Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 88.5 percent implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory by the end of 2026 reflects sustained diplomatic and legal obstacles, even amid ongoing Arctic security talks. Recent negotiations with Denmark have focused on expanded U.S. military bases in Greenland, with limited discussion of sovereign designation for those sites, yet no formal transfer agreement or congressional action has advanced. President Trump’s January pledge at Davos to forgo military force or tariffs removed one escalation path, while a related House bill authorizing acquisition remains in early stages without Senate momentum. Broader constitutional requirements for territorial incorporation and allied opposition continue to constrain timelines before the December 31 resolution date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong