Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including September 2026 visits by envoys to Moscow and Kyiv plus planned October trilateral talks in the UAE, have revived negotiations but produced no breakthrough on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donetsk and other regions it claims, along with neutrality guarantees excluding NATO membership, while Ukraine rejects unilateral territorial concessions and seeks robust, long-term security assurances. Intensifying strikes on energy infrastructure and battlefield stalemate further complicate rapid agreement. These entrenched positions, combined with the short window remaining before 2027, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to no deal being signed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
11% tsansa
$2,775,871 Vol.
$2,775,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
11% tsansa
$2,775,871 Vol.
$2,775,871 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including September 2026 visits by envoys to Moscow and Kyiv plus planned October trilateral talks in the UAE, have revived negotiations but produced no breakthrough on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donetsk and other regions it claims, along with neutrality guarantees excluding NATO membership, while Ukraine rejects unilateral territorial concessions and seeks robust, long-term security assurances. Intensifying strikes on energy infrastructure and battlefield stalemate further complicate rapid agreement. These entrenched positions, combined with the short window remaining before 2027, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to no deal being signed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,775,871Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including September 2026 visits by envoys to Moscow and Kyiv plus planned October trilateral talks in the UAE, have revived negotiations but produced no breakthrough on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donetsk and other regions it claims, along with neutrality guarantees excluding NATO membership, while Ukraine rejects unilateral territorial concessions and seeks robust, long-term security assurances. Intensifying strikes on energy infrastructure and battlefield stalemate further complicate rapid agreement. These entrenched positions, combined with the short window remaining before 2027, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to no deal being signed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,775,871Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-mediated diplomatic efforts, including September 2026 visits by envoys to Moscow and Kyiv plus planned October trilateral talks in the UAE, have revived negotiations but produced no breakthrough on core issues. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donetsk and other regions it claims, along with neutrality guarantees excluding NATO membership, while Ukraine rejects unilateral territorial concessions and seeks robust, long-term security assurances. Intensifying strikes on energy infrastructure and battlefield stalemate further complicate rapid agreement. These entrenched positions, combined with the short window remaining before 2027, underpin trader consensus reflected in the high probability assigned to no deal being signed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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