Recent reports of CIA lethal operations against Mexican cartels, published May 12, were swiftly denied by both U.S. and Mexican officials, underscoring ongoing bilateral cooperation through joint anti-cartel patrols and intelligence sharing rather than unilateral military escalation. President Trump's repeated threats of U.S. ground forces to combat fentanyl labs and cartels persist, but Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has firmly ruled out any foreign military intervention, emphasizing sovereignty and diplomatic channels. Trader consensus at 93.5% "No" reflects the absence of official invasion plans, deep U.S.-Mexico economic ties under USMCA, and historical precedents against invading a sovereign neighbor, with no developments in the past 30 days signaling movement toward boots-on-the-ground offensive action before year-end.