Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine coup attempt by...?
Ukraine coup attempt by...?
$169,153 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$169,153 Vol.
December 31
$151,317 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,153Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,153Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the Russia conflict through mid-2026, with no verified coup attempts, parliamentary seizures, or elite power challenges reported. Trader consensus prices a low probability of a widely reported attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of triggers such as large-scale military defections, anticorruption protests escalating into unrest, or fractures among security services. Periodic strains over EU accession and legislation in 2025 have not produced momentum for internal upheaval. Significant barriers include wartime consolidation around the incumbent and limited public evidence of coordinated opposition plots. Developments that could shift odds include major battlefield reversals, high-profile arrests tied to Russia-backed networks, or sudden elite defections within the security apparatus before December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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