Ukraine's political and military leadership has shown sustained stability amid the protracted conflict with Russia, with no verifiable indicators of organized internal challenges or factional fractures emerging in recent months. President Zelensky maintains operational control over key institutions, supported by unified command structures and consistent Western diplomatic and military backing that reinforces institutional cohesion. Traders assign a 96.5% probability to no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the absence of triggering events such as major leadership disputes, large-scale defections, or sudden battlefield reversals that historically precede such developments. While unforeseen escalations, health-related transitions, or rapid shifts in international support could still alter dynamics within the short resolution window, current conditions offer few openings for rapid power shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUkraine coup attempt by June 30?
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political and military leadership has shown sustained stability amid the protracted conflict with Russia, with no verifiable indicators of organized internal challenges or factional fractures emerging in recent months. President Zelensky maintains operational control over key institutions, supported by unified command structures and consistent Western diplomatic and military backing that reinforces institutional cohesion. Traders assign a 96.5% probability to no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the absence of triggering events such as major leadership disputes, large-scale defections, or sudden battlefield reversals that historically precede such developments. While unforeseen escalations, health-related transitions, or rapid shifts in international support could still alter dynamics within the short resolution window, current conditions offer few openings for rapid power shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,266Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political and military leadership has shown sustained stability amid the protracted conflict with Russia, with no verifiable indicators of organized internal challenges or factional fractures emerging in recent months. President Zelensky maintains operational control over key institutions, supported by unified command structures and consistent Western diplomatic and military backing that reinforces institutional cohesion. Traders assign a 96.5% probability to no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the absence of triggering events such as major leadership disputes, large-scale defections, or sudden battlefield reversals that historically precede such developments. While unforeseen escalations, health-related transitions, or rapid shifts in international support could still alter dynamics within the short resolution window, current conditions offer few openings for rapid power shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,266Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's political and military leadership has shown sustained stability amid the protracted conflict with Russia, with no verifiable indicators of organized internal challenges or factional fractures emerging in recent months. President Zelensky maintains operational control over key institutions, supported by unified command structures and consistent Western diplomatic and military backing that reinforces institutional cohesion. Traders assign a 96.5% probability to no coup attempt by June 30, reflecting the absence of triggering events such as major leadership disputes, large-scale defections, or sudden battlefield reversals that historically precede such developments. While unforeseen escalations, health-related transitions, or rapid shifts in international support could still alter dynamics within the short resolution window, current conditions offer few openings for rapid power shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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