Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader confidence that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figures such as Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty structures rather than exposing fractures, with official channels framing these actions as enforcement of party discipline. Historical patterns of elite consolidation, limited public information on internal debates, and the absence of organized opposition or visible elite defections further support expectations of continuity. While sudden health events, severe economic shocks, or external military crises could theoretically create openings for instability, current institutional controls and policy emphasis on national security make such shifts improbable within the timeframe.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% tsansa
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader confidence that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figures such as Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty structures rather than exposing fractures, with official channels framing these actions as enforcement of party discipline. Historical patterns of elite consolidation, limited public information on internal debates, and the absence of organized opposition or visible elite defections further support expectations of continuity. While sudden health events, severe economic shocks, or external military crises could theoretically create openings for instability, current institutional controls and policy emphasis on national security make such shifts improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,750Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader confidence that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figures such as Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty structures rather than exposing fractures, with official channels framing these actions as enforcement of party discipline. Historical patterns of elite consolidation, limited public information on internal debates, and the absence of organized opposition or visible elite defections further support expectations of continuity. While sudden health events, severe economic shocks, or external military crises could theoretically create openings for instability, current institutional controls and policy emphasis on national security make such shifts improbable within the timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,750Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s centralized authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader confidence that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Ongoing anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figures such as Zhang Youxia, have reinforced loyalty structures rather than exposing fractures, with official channels framing these actions as enforcement of party discipline. Historical patterns of elite consolidation, limited public information on internal debates, and the absence of organized opposition or visible elite defections further support expectations of continuity. While sudden health events, severe economic shocks, or external military crises could theoretically create openings for instability, current institutional controls and policy emphasis on national security make such shifts improbable within the timeframe.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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