Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power through ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigations of senior PLA figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, has strengthened trader consensus around political stability through late 2026. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, eliminated potential factional challenges within the Central Military Commission and reinforced party control over the armed forces. With no verified signs of elite fractures, organized opposition, or leadership succession pressures before the 2027 party congress, the market reflects the structural barriers to any coup attempt in China's one-party system. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health crisis, major policy reversal triggering widespread elite dissent, or an external shock such as a failed Taiwan contingency, though none appear imminent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% tsansa
$153,750 Vol.
$153,750 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power through ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigations of senior PLA figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, has strengthened trader consensus around political stability through late 2026. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, eliminated potential factional challenges within the Central Military Commission and reinforced party control over the armed forces. With no verified signs of elite fractures, organized opposition, or leadership succession pressures before the 2027 party congress, the market reflects the structural barriers to any coup attempt in China's one-party system. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health crisis, major policy reversal triggering widespread elite dissent, or an external shock such as a failed Taiwan contingency, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,750Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power through ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigations of senior PLA figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, has strengthened trader consensus around political stability through late 2026. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, eliminated potential factional challenges within the Central Military Commission and reinforced party control over the armed forces. With no verified signs of elite fractures, organized opposition, or leadership succession pressures before the 2027 party congress, the market reflects the structural barriers to any coup attempt in China's one-party system. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health crisis, major policy reversal triggering widespread elite dissent, or an external shock such as a failed Taiwan contingency, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,750Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power through ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigations of senior PLA figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, has strengthened trader consensus around political stability through late 2026. These actions, framed officially as anti-corruption measures, eliminated potential factional challenges within the Central Military Commission and reinforced party control over the armed forces. With no verified signs of elite fractures, organized opposition, or leadership succession pressures before the 2027 party congress, the market reflects the structural barriers to any coup attempt in China's one-party system. Realistic shifts could still arise from an abrupt health crisis, major policy reversal triggering widespread elite dissent, or an external shock such as a failed Taiwan contingency, though none appear imminent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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