Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 3.3% chance of a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese leader's unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 rumors of a plot involving top Central Military Commission generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—amid corruption probes and arrests of thousands—fizzled without disruption, as Xi's aggressive purges neutralized potential rivals and reinforced loyalty. Ongoing military shakeups, including the ouster of nine defense lawmakers in February, underscore his control rather than instability. Structural barriers like pervasive surveillance and factional discipline sustain high confidence in "No," though severe economic turmoil, a failed Taiwan operation, or elite defections could shift dynamics before the 2027 Party Congress.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$127,557 Vol.
$127,557 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$127,557 Vol.
$127,557 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 3.3% chance of a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese leader's unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 rumors of a plot involving top Central Military Commission generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—amid corruption probes and arrests of thousands—fizzled without disruption, as Xi's aggressive purges neutralized potential rivals and reinforced loyalty. Ongoing military shakeups, including the ouster of nine defense lawmakers in February, underscore his control rather than instability. Structural barriers like pervasive surveillance and factional discipline sustain high confidence in "No," though severe economic turmoil, a failed Taiwan operation, or elite defections could shift dynamics before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$127,557Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 3.3% chance of a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese leader's unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 rumors of a plot involving top Central Military Commission generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—amid corruption probes and arrests of thousands—fizzled without disruption, as Xi's aggressive purges neutralized potential rivals and reinforced loyalty. Ongoing military shakeups, including the ouster of nine defense lawmakers in February, underscore his control rather than instability. Structural barriers like pervasive surveillance and factional discipline sustain high confidence in "No," though severe economic turmoil, a failed Taiwan operation, or elite defections could shift dynamics before the 2027 Party Congress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,557Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a mere 3.3% chance of a coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027, reflecting the Chinese leader's unchallenged dominance within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 rumors of a plot involving top Central Military Commission generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli—amid corruption probes and arrests of thousands—fizzled without disruption, as Xi's aggressive purges neutralized potential rivals and reinforced loyalty. Ongoing military shakeups, including the ouster of nine defense lawmakers in February, underscore his control rather than instability. Structural barriers like pervasive surveillance and factional discipline sustain high confidence in "No," though severe economic turmoil, a failed Taiwan operation, or elite defections could shift dynamics before the 2027 Party Congress.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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