Iranian political dynamics following the 2026 war and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death have centered on contested leadership transitions, with hardliners issuing public warnings of an alleged coup by figures tied to President Masoud Pezeshkian and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. These statements emerged in July amid pressure on a U.S. truce and debates over Mojtaba Khamenei's role as successor, including questions about adherence to constitutional selection procedures and the Revolutionary Guard's influence. Trader focus tracks verifiable internal power shifts, military appointments, and any widely reported attempts to seize control before or after the June 30 resolution window, alongside scheduled diplomatic talks on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz that could influence stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$2,115,813 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
12%
$2,115,813 Vol.
December 31
$74,587 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian political dynamics following the 2026 war and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death have centered on contested leadership transitions, with hardliners issuing public warnings of an alleged coup by figures tied to President Masoud Pezeshkian and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. These statements emerged in July amid pressure on a U.S. truce and debates over Mojtaba Khamenei's role as successor, including questions about adherence to constitutional selection procedures and the Revolutionary Guard's influence. Trader focus tracks verifiable internal power shifts, military appointments, and any widely reported attempts to seize control before or after the June 30 resolution window, alongside scheduled diplomatic talks on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz that could influence stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volume
$2,115,813Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian political dynamics following the 2026 war and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death have centered on contested leadership transitions, with hardliners issuing public warnings of an alleged coup by figures tied to President Masoud Pezeshkian and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. These statements emerged in July amid pressure on a U.S. truce and debates over Mojtaba Khamenei's role as successor, including questions about adherence to constitutional selection procedures and the Revolutionary Guard's influence. Trader focus tracks verifiable internal power shifts, military appointments, and any widely reported attempts to seize control before or after the June 30 resolution window, alongside scheduled diplomatic talks on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz that could influence stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,115,813Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian political dynamics following the 2026 war and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death have centered on contested leadership transitions, with hardliners issuing public warnings of an alleged coup by figures tied to President Masoud Pezeshkian and parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. These statements emerged in July amid pressure on a U.S. truce and debates over Mojtaba Khamenei's role as successor, including questions about adherence to constitutional selection procedures and the Revolutionary Guard's influence. Trader focus tracks verifiable internal power shifts, military appointments, and any widely reported attempts to seize control before or after the June 30 resolution window, alongside scheduled diplomatic talks on sanctions and the Strait of Hormuz that could influence stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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