Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, reflecting the regime's consolidation of control amid U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations following the 2026 war. Late April rumors of an IRGC power seizure—allegedly placing figures like Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf and President Pezeshkian under house arrest to halt talks—proved unsubstantiated, with officials dismissing them as failed U.S. infiltration plots into Isfahan. No verifiable internal military challenges have emerged since, despite economic strains and prior failed plots in January. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including U.S. proposals on nuclear restrictions, signal de-escalation, though sudden escalations in Strait of Hormuz tensions or leadership health issues could shift dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
$1,110,382 Vol.
$1,110,382 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oo
$1,110,382 Vol.
$1,110,382 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, reflecting the regime's consolidation of control amid U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations following the 2026 war. Late April rumors of an IRGC power seizure—allegedly placing figures like Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf and President Pezeshkian under house arrest to halt talks—proved unsubstantiated, with officials dismissing them as failed U.S. infiltration plots into Isfahan. No verifiable internal military challenges have emerged since, despite economic strains and prior failed plots in January. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including U.S. proposals on nuclear restrictions, signal de-escalation, though sudden escalations in Strait of Hormuz tensions or leadership health issues could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,110,382Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, reflecting the regime's consolidation of control amid U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations following the 2026 war. Late April rumors of an IRGC power seizure—allegedly placing figures like Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf and President Pezeshkian under house arrest to halt talks—proved unsubstantiated, with officials dismissing them as failed U.S. infiltration plots into Isfahan. No verifiable internal military challenges have emerged since, despite economic strains and prior failed plots in January. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including U.S. proposals on nuclear restrictions, signal de-escalation, though sudden escalations in Strait of Hormuz tensions or leadership health issues could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,110,382Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, reflecting the regime's consolidation of control amid U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations following the 2026 war. Late April rumors of an IRGC power seizure—allegedly placing figures like Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf and President Pezeshkian under house arrest to halt talks—proved unsubstantiated, with officials dismissing them as failed U.S. infiltration plots into Isfahan. No verifiable internal military challenges have emerged since, despite economic strains and prior failed plots in January. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including U.S. proposals on nuclear restrictions, signal de-escalation, though sudden escalations in Strait of Hormuz tensions or leadership health issues could shift dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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