The U.S. administration has prioritized working with interim President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures in ongoing negotiations aimed at a managed democratic transition and eventual elections, rather than issuing formal recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, Washington has cited concerns over domestic support levels and risks of instability as reasons to sideline Machado despite her opposition backing and Nobel recognition, favoring institutional processes and other negotiators instead. This policy stance underpins the strong trader consensus on “No,” with no announcements or actions indicating imminent recognition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome before year-end include sudden changes in U.S. diplomatic strategy, rapid consolidation of support behind Machado upon any return from exile, or breakthroughs in talks that elevate her role.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3% tsansa
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% tsansa
$179,084 Vol.
$179,084 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has prioritized working with interim President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures in ongoing negotiations aimed at a managed democratic transition and eventual elections, rather than issuing formal recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, Washington has cited concerns over domestic support levels and risks of instability as reasons to sideline Machado despite her opposition backing and Nobel recognition, favoring institutional processes and other negotiators instead. This policy stance underpins the strong trader consensus on “No,” with no announcements or actions indicating imminent recognition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome before year-end include sudden changes in U.S. diplomatic strategy, rapid consolidation of support behind Machado upon any return from exile, or breakthroughs in talks that elevate her role.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$179,084Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has prioritized working with interim President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures in ongoing negotiations aimed at a managed democratic transition and eventual elections, rather than issuing formal recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, Washington has cited concerns over domestic support levels and risks of instability as reasons to sideline Machado despite her opposition backing and Nobel recognition, favoring institutional processes and other negotiators instead. This policy stance underpins the strong trader consensus on “No,” with no announcements or actions indicating imminent recognition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome before year-end include sudden changes in U.S. diplomatic strategy, rapid consolidation of support behind Machado upon any return from exile, or breakthroughs in talks that elevate her role.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$179,084Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration has prioritized working with interim President Delcy Rodríguez and select opposition figures in ongoing negotiations aimed at a managed democratic transition and eventual elections, rather than issuing formal recognition of María Corina Machado as Venezuela’s leader. Following the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, Washington has cited concerns over domestic support levels and risks of instability as reasons to sideline Machado despite her opposition backing and Nobel recognition, favoring institutional processes and other negotiators instead. This policy stance underpins the strong trader consensus on “No,” with no announcements or actions indicating imminent recognition. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome before year-end include sudden changes in U.S. diplomatic strategy, rapid consolidation of support behind Machado upon any return from exile, or breakthroughs in talks that elevate her role.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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