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Ekonomiya·Implasyon

Price of Dozen Eggs in May?

icon for Price of Dozen Eggs in May?
Ekonomiya·Implasyon

Price of Dozen Eggs in May?

Jun 10

Jun 10

$2.00–$2.25 64%

$2.25–$2.50 27%

$1.75–$2.00 8%

$2.50–$2.75 2.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

$2.00–$2.25 64%

$2.25–$2.50 27%

$1.75–$2.00 8%

$2.50–$2.75 2.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

<$1.50

$79 Vol.

1%

$1.50–$1.75

$47 Vol.

2%

$1.75–$2.00

$57 Vol.

8%

$2.00–$2.25

$210 Vol.

64%

$2.25–$2.50

$162 Vol.

27%

$2.50–$2.75

$82 Vol.

3%

$2.75–$3.00

$103 Vol.

1%

$3.00–$3.25

$245 Vol.

2%

$3.25–$3.50

$170 Vol.

2%

≥$3.50

$80 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Supply recovery from reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks has driven the $2.00–$2.25 range to a 64.5% implied probability for the May 2026 average retail price of a dozen eggs. Wholesale prices stabilized near $1.25 per dozen early in the year after plunging below $0.35 in January, while retail levels fell to $2.25 in April from $2.35 in March and peaks above $6 in 2025. USDA projections for a 29.4% annual decline reflect ample replacement pullets and fewer first-quarter detections of the virus compared with 2025. Trader consensus incorporates seasonal spring demand alongside these supply gains, though persistent but limited flock losses and feed-cost volatility keep modest upside risk priced in the $2.25–$2.50 bin at 27%.

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$1,234
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Supply recovery from reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks has driven the $2.00–$2.25 range to a 64.5% implied probability for the May 2026 average retail price of a dozen eggs. Wholesale prices stabilized near $1.25 per dozen early in the year after plunging below $0.35 in January, while retail levels fell to $2.25 in April from $2.35 in March and peaks above $6 in 2025. USDA projections for a 29.4% annual decline reflect ample replacement pullets and fewer first-quarter detections of the virus compared with 2025. Trader consensus incorporates seasonal spring demand alongside these supply gains, though persistent but limited flock losses and feed-cost volatility keep modest upside risk priced in the $2.25–$2.50 bin at 27%.

This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$1,234
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Price of Dozen Eggs in May?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "$2.00–$2.25" sa 64%, sinusundan ng "$2.25–$2.50" sa 27%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 64¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Price of Dozen Eggs in May?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong May 12, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Price of Dozen Eggs in May?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Price of Dozen Eggs in May?" ay "$2.00–$2.25" sa 64%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "$2.25–$2.50" sa 27%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Price of Dozen Eggs in May?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.