The energy price shock stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored trader expectations for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 near the bottom of the 0-1.0% band, with that outcome commanding 80.5% implied probability. Recent data releases show Q1 2026 GDP expanding just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter amid softening industrial output and net exports, while May inflation climbed to 3.2% on higher energy costs, prompting the ECB to maintain or adjust rates higher in a data-dependent stance. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and Vanguard now cluster around 0.8-1.1% for the full year after successive downward revisions, reflecting weaker real incomes, tighter credit conditions, and lingering confidence effects. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints, ECB communications, and any de-escalation signals that could ease commodity pressures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update0-1.0% 79.6%
1.0-2.0% 16%
4.0-5.0% 5.0%
2.0-3.0% 2.4%
$30,380 Vol.
$30,380 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
2%
0-1.0%
80%
1.0-2.0%
16%
2.0-3.0%
2%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 79.6%
1.0-2.0% 16%
4.0-5.0% 5.0%
2.0-3.0% 2.4%
$30,380 Vol.
$30,380 Vol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,672 Vol.
2%
0-1.0%
$11,512 Vol.
80%
1.0-2.0%
$7,156 Vol.
16%
2.0-3.0%
$1,180 Vol.
2%
3.0-4.0%
$1,096 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,203 Vol.
5%
5.0-6.0%
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,648 Vol.
1%
7.0%+
$1,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.The energy price shock stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored trader expectations for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 near the bottom of the 0-1.0% band, with that outcome commanding 80.5% implied probability. Recent data releases show Q1 2026 GDP expanding just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter amid softening industrial output and net exports, while May inflation climbed to 3.2% on higher energy costs, prompting the ECB to maintain or adjust rates higher in a data-dependent stance. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and Vanguard now cluster around 0.8-1.1% for the full year after successive downward revisions, reflecting weaker real incomes, tighter credit conditions, and lingering confidence effects. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints, ECB communications, and any de-escalation signals that could ease commodity pressures.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$30,380Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.The energy price shock stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored trader expectations for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 near the bottom of the 0-1.0% band, with that outcome commanding 80.5% implied probability. Recent data releases show Q1 2026 GDP expanding just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter amid softening industrial output and net exports, while May inflation climbed to 3.2% on higher energy costs, prompting the ECB to maintain or adjust rates higher in a data-dependent stance. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and Vanguard now cluster around 0.8-1.1% for the full year after successive downward revisions, reflecting weaker real incomes, tighter credit conditions, and lingering confidence effects. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints, ECB communications, and any de-escalation signals that could ease commodity pressures.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,380Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The energy price shock stemming from Middle East geopolitical tensions has anchored trader expectations for Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 near the bottom of the 0-1.0% band, with that outcome commanding 80.5% implied probability. Recent data releases show Q1 2026 GDP expanding just 0.1% quarter-over-quarter amid softening industrial output and net exports, while May inflation climbed to 3.2% on higher energy costs, prompting the ECB to maintain or adjust rates higher in a data-dependent stance. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, IMF, and Vanguard now cluster around 0.8-1.1% for the full year after successive downward revisions, reflecting weaker real incomes, tighter credit conditions, and lingering confidence effects. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming inflation prints, ECB communications, and any de-escalation signals that could ease commodity pressures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong