Anthropic’s surge in secondary-market trading and accelerating revenue growth underpin the 89% market-implied probability that it will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026. After closing a $30 billion round at a $380 billion post-money valuation in February, Anthropic shares traded at $1 trillion on Forge Global in late April amid limited supply and strong institutional demand, eclipsing OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 post-money mark. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate has climbed to $39–45 billion, outpacing OpenAI’s roughly $25 billion pace, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude models and multi-billion-dollar compute commitments from Amazon and Google. Traders are pricing in a near-term $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion that would cement the lead ahead of a potential H2 2026 IPO.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
$78,478 Vol.
$78,478 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$78,478 Vol.
$78,478 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s surge in secondary-market trading and accelerating revenue growth underpin the 89% market-implied probability that it will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026. After closing a $30 billion round at a $380 billion post-money valuation in February, Anthropic shares traded at $1 trillion on Forge Global in late April amid limited supply and strong institutional demand, eclipsing OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 post-money mark. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate has climbed to $39–45 billion, outpacing OpenAI’s roughly $25 billion pace, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude models and multi-billion-dollar compute commitments from Amazon and Google. Traders are pricing in a near-term $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion that would cement the lead ahead of a potential H2 2026 IPO.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$78,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s surge in secondary-market trading and accelerating revenue growth underpin the 89% market-implied probability that it will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026. After closing a $30 billion round at a $380 billion post-money valuation in February, Anthropic shares traded at $1 trillion on Forge Global in late April amid limited supply and strong institutional demand, eclipsing OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 post-money mark. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate has climbed to $39–45 billion, outpacing OpenAI’s roughly $25 billion pace, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude models and multi-billion-dollar compute commitments from Amazon and Google. Traders are pricing in a near-term $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion that would cement the lead ahead of a potential H2 2026 IPO.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,478Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s surge in secondary-market trading and accelerating revenue growth underpin the 89% market-implied probability that it will command a higher valuation than OpenAI by year-end 2026. After closing a $30 billion round at a $380 billion post-money valuation in February, Anthropic shares traded at $1 trillion on Forge Global in late April amid limited supply and strong institutional demand, eclipsing OpenAI’s $852 billion March 2026 post-money mark. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate has climbed to $39–45 billion, outpacing OpenAI’s roughly $25 billion pace, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude models and multi-billion-dollar compute commitments from Amazon and Google. Traders are pricing in a near-term $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion that would cement the lead ahead of a potential H2 2026 IPO.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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