OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, released in late April and refined with an Instant variant in early May, currently tops multiple leaderboards including LMSYS Arena and GPQA Diamond, giving it the clearest momentum heading into late June. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 remains within a few Elo points on human-preference rankings and continues to lead in long-context reasoning and agentic tasks, creating a narrow two-horse race. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds strong cost-performance advantages but trails on raw capability benchmarks, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 and emerging open models have yet to close the gap. With no major frontier releases scheduled before the June 30 snapshot, trader sentiment hinges on whether incremental fine-tunes or benchmark updates can shift the current ordering before the cutoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAling mga kumpanya ay magkakaroon ng isang #1 AI modelo sa pamamagitan ng Hunyo 30?
Aling mga kumpanya ay magkakaroon ng isang #1 AI modelo sa pamamagitan ng Hunyo 30?
$1,563,300 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
8%
xAI
5%
Meta
4%
Baidu
2%
Z.ai
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Nvidia
2%
Alibaba
2%
Meituan
1%
$1,563,300 Vol.
OpenAI
$406,502 Vol.
11%
Mistral
$13,200 Vol.
8%
xAI
$559,434 Vol.
5%
Meta
$15,461 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$3,931 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$10,760 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$275,939 Vol.
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$10,627 Vol.
2%
Meituan
$3,056 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, released in late April and refined with an Instant variant in early May, currently tops multiple leaderboards including LMSYS Arena and GPQA Diamond, giving it the clearest momentum heading into late June. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 remains within a few Elo points on human-preference rankings and continues to lead in long-context reasoning and agentic tasks, creating a narrow two-horse race. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds strong cost-performance advantages but trails on raw capability benchmarks, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 and emerging open models have yet to close the gap. With no major frontier releases scheduled before the June 30 snapshot, trader sentiment hinges on whether incremental fine-tunes or benchmark updates can shift the current ordering before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,563,300Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, released in late April and refined with an Instant variant in early May, currently tops multiple leaderboards including LMSYS Arena and GPQA Diamond, giving it the clearest momentum heading into late June. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 remains within a few Elo points on human-preference rankings and continues to lead in long-context reasoning and agentic tasks, creating a narrow two-horse race. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds strong cost-performance advantages but trails on raw capability benchmarks, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 and emerging open models have yet to close the gap. With no major frontier releases scheduled before the June 30 snapshot, trader sentiment hinges on whether incremental fine-tunes or benchmark updates can shift the current ordering before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$1,563,300Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series, released in late April and refined with an Instant variant in early May, currently tops multiple leaderboards including LMSYS Arena and GPQA Diamond, giving it the clearest momentum heading into late June. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 remains within a few Elo points on human-preference rankings and continues to lead in long-context reasoning and agentic tasks, creating a narrow two-horse race. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds strong cost-performance advantages but trails on raw capability benchmarks, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 and emerging open models have yet to close the gap. With no major frontier releases scheduled before the June 30 snapshot, trader sentiment hinges on whether incremental fine-tunes or benchmark updates can shift the current ordering before the cutoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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