Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 37% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service coverage over 20% to 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. markets, including initial rollout in Miami followed by Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This builds on February's launch in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, bringing the total from 10 amid strong safety data and partnerships like Uber. The 13% on 12+ acknowledges queued expansions in Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego but tempers expectations given the six-week timeline, regulatory hurdles, and mapping needs; lower outcomes like 7-9 reflect no rollback risks from incident reports or restrictions. Watch for pre-resolution approvals or capability demos.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
11 43%
12+ 13%
9 7.1%
≤5 5.8%
$162,674 Vol.
$162,674 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
6%
6
2%
7
8%
8
4%
9
7%
10
5%
11
37%
12+
13%
11 43%
12+ 13%
9 7.1%
≤5 5.8%
$162,674 Vol.
$162,674 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$41,908 Vol.
6%
6
$20,109 Vol.
2%
7
$13,814 Vol.
8%
8
$14,305 Vol.
4%
9
$17,411 Vol.
7%
10
$13,669 Vol.
5%
11
$19,405 Vol.
37%
12+
$22,051 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 37% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service coverage over 20% to 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. markets, including initial rollout in Miami followed by Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This builds on February's launch in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, bringing the total from 10 amid strong safety data and partnerships like Uber. The 13% on 12+ acknowledges queued expansions in Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego but tempers expectations given the six-week timeline, regulatory hurdles, and mapping needs; lower outcomes like 7-9 reflect no rollback risks from incident reports or restrictions. Watch for pre-resolution approvals or capability demos.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volume
$162,674Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 37% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service coverage over 20% to 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. markets, including initial rollout in Miami followed by Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This builds on February's launch in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, bringing the total from 10 amid strong safety data and partnerships like Uber. The 13% on 12+ acknowledges queued expansions in Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego but tempers expectations given the six-week timeline, regulatory hurdles, and mapping needs; lower outcomes like 7-9 reflect no rollback risks from incident reports or restrictions. Watch for pre-resolution approvals or capability demos.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$162,674Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 11 cities at 37% implied probability for Waymo's robotaxi operations by June 30, driven by the company's May 13 announcement expanding service coverage over 20% to 1,400 square miles across exactly 11 U.S. markets, including initial rollout in Miami followed by Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area. This builds on February's launch in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, bringing the total from 10 amid strong safety data and partnerships like Uber. The 13% on 12+ acknowledges queued expansions in Denver, Las Vegas, and San Diego but tempers expectations given the six-week timeline, regulatory hurdles, and mapping needs; lower outcomes like 7-9 reflect no rollback risks from incident reports or restrictions. Watch for pre-resolution approvals or capability demos.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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