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Teknolohiya·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Teknolohiya·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Portland, OR

$0 Vol.

60%

Baltimore, MD

$0 Vol.

52%

Detroit, MI

$0 Vol.

52%

Denver, CO

$0 Vol.

52%

Las Vegas, NV

$0 Vol.

52%

Pittsburgh, PA

$0 Vol.

52%

Minneapolis, MN

$0 Vol.

52%

New Orleans, LA

$0 Vol.

52%

Charlotte, NC

$0 Vol.

52%

Chicago, IL

$0 Vol.

52%

San Diego, CA

$0 Vol.

52%

Tampa, FL

$0 Vol.

52%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 Vol.

51%

Boston, MA

$0 Vol.

51%

Sacramento, CA

$0 Vol.

51%

Seattle, WA

$0 Vol.

51%

London, UK

$0 Vol.

50%

St. Louis, MO

$0 Vol.

50%

Tokyo, Japan

$0 Vol.

50%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.

47%

Washington, DC

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's accelerated 2026 expansion, fueled by successful driverless testing initiations in late 2025 across Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, drives strong trader expectations for multiple new commercial robotaxi launches by year-end. The company, backed by a $16 billion funding round, now operates paid autonomous service in over 10 U.S. markets with ongoing area growth in places like Atlanta and the Bay Area, while advancing testing or plans in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, Detroit, Washington D.C., Nashville, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, and international entries like London. Key swing factors include regulatory approvals for winter-weather cities, freeway integration, and scaling without major incidents, as historical patterns show timelines can shift with permitting or technical hurdles in new environments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's accelerated 2026 expansion, fueled by successful driverless testing initiations in late 2025 across Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, drives strong trader expectations for multiple new commercial robotaxi launches by year-end. The company, backed by a $16 billion funding round, now operates paid autonomous service in over 10 U.S. markets with ongoing area growth in places like Atlanta and the Bay Area, while advancing testing or plans in Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, Detroit, Washington D.C., Nashville, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, St. Louis, and international entries like London. Key swing factors include regulatory approvals for winter-weather cities, freeway integration, and scaling without major incidents, as historical patterns show timelines can shift with permitting or technical hurdles in new environments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Portland, OR" sa 60%, sinusundan ng "Baltimore, MD" sa 52%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 60¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 26, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay "Portland, OR" sa 60%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Baltimore, MD" sa 52%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.