OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly underpin trader expectations for a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, with implied probabilities reflecting 44% odds on that outcome. Private valuations have climbed from $730 billion to over $850 billion in 2026 amid explosive AI demand, though persistent losses and a possible 2027 debut introduce uncertainty around multiples near 40 times annualized revenue. Upcoming catalysts include earnings trajectory, regulatory clarity, and broader tech IPO momentum, which could sustain or moderate the current high-valuation consensus priced into Polymarket.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+ 44.0%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$102,859 Vol.
$102,859 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
23%
1.5T+
44%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
1.5T+ 44.0%
1.25T–1.5T 23%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$102,859 Vol.
$102,859 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$7,991 Vol.
1%
500–750B
$9,704 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$10,725 Vol.
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 Vol.
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$9,642 Vol.
23%
1.5T+
$27,040 Vol.
44%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,650 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly underpin trader expectations for a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, with implied probabilities reflecting 44% odds on that outcome. Private valuations have climbed from $730 billion to over $850 billion in 2026 amid explosive AI demand, though persistent losses and a possible 2027 debut introduce uncertainty around multiples near 40 times annualized revenue. Upcoming catalysts include earnings trajectory, regulatory clarity, and broader tech IPO momentum, which could sustain or moderate the current high-valuation consensus priced into Polymarket.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$102,859Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly underpin trader expectations for a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, with implied probabilities reflecting 44% odds on that outcome. Private valuations have climbed from $730 billion to over $850 billion in 2026 amid explosive AI demand, though persistent losses and a possible 2027 debut introduce uncertainty around multiples near 40 times annualized revenue. Upcoming catalysts include earnings trajectory, regulatory clarity, and broader tech IPO momentum, which could sustain or moderate the current high-valuation consensus priced into Polymarket.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$102,859Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly underpin trader expectations for a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, with implied probabilities reflecting 44% odds on that outcome. Private valuations have climbed from $730 billion to over $850 billion in 2026 amid explosive AI demand, though persistent losses and a possible 2027 debut introduce uncertainty around multiples near 40 times annualized revenue. Upcoming catalysts include earnings trajectory, regulatory clarity, and broader tech IPO momentum, which could sustain or moderate the current high-valuation consensus priced into Polymarket.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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