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icon for Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

icon for Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$778 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$29 Vol.

27%

March 31, 2027

$89 Vol.

59%

June 30, 2027

$659 Vol.

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s confidential Hong Kong IPO filing on September 3, 2026, has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the company targeting roughly $3 billion in proceeds at a $50 billion valuation in its ongoing funding round. The July release of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight large language model with a one-million-token context window, delivered strong benchmark performance and triggered a sharp surge in API demand that pushed annual recurring revenue to $300 million by June. Corporate restructuring to unwind its offshore structure, state-linked backing from investors including Alibaba and Tencent, and early talks with Microsoft, Amazon, and Google on revenue-sharing hosting deals have further supported momentum. A formal listing application checkpoint looms by late September, though full regulatory clearance and market conditions could push any debut into early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$778
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s confidential Hong Kong IPO filing on September 3, 2026, has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with the company targeting roughly $3 billion in proceeds at a $50 billion valuation in its ongoing funding round. The July release of Kimi K3, a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight large language model with a one-million-token context window, delivered strong benchmark performance and triggered a sharp surge in API demand that pushed annual recurring revenue to $300 million by June. Corporate restructuring to unwind its offshore structure, state-linked backing from investors including Alibaba and Tencent, and early talks with Microsoft, Amazon, and Google on revenue-sharing hosting deals have further supported momentum. A formal listing application checkpoint looms by late September, though full regulatory clearance and market conditions could push any debut into early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$778
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "June 30, 2027" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "March 31, 2027" sa 59%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 9, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" ay "June 30, 2027" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "March 31, 2027" sa 59%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.