Discord’s closely matched Polymarket odds—led by the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at roughly 24% and 23.5% implied probability—reflect valuation compression and IPO timing uncertainty following the company’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing. Secondary-market marks have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, amid softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With approximately 200 million monthly active users and annualized recurring revenue estimates of $600–900 million, trader consensus centers on a first-day market cap in the high-single to low-double-digit billions if an offering occurs. Persistent delays, absent a public prospectus, and a crowded 2026–2027 calendar sustain the 22% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
11–14B 24.6%
8–11B 24%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.0%
14–17B 8.9%
$50,417 Vol.
$50,417 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
6%
5–8B
5%
8–11B
24%
11–14B
25%
14–17B
9%
17–20B
6%
20B+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
11–14B 24.6%
8–11B 24%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.0%
14–17B 8.9%
$50,417 Vol.
$50,417 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$14,260 Vol.
6%
5–8B
$4,122 Vol.
5%
8–11B
$12,363 Vol.
24%
11–14B
$5,292 Vol.
25%
14–17B
$1,923 Vol.
9%
17–20B
$4,298 Vol.
6%
20B+
$4,236 Vol.
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$3,922 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s closely matched Polymarket odds—led by the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at roughly 24% and 23.5% implied probability—reflect valuation compression and IPO timing uncertainty following the company’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing. Secondary-market marks have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, amid softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With approximately 200 million monthly active users and annualized recurring revenue estimates of $600–900 million, trader consensus centers on a first-day market cap in the high-single to low-double-digit billions if an offering occurs. Persistent delays, absent a public prospectus, and a crowded 2026–2027 calendar sustain the 22% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$50,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s closely matched Polymarket odds—led by the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at roughly 24% and 23.5% implied probability—reflect valuation compression and IPO timing uncertainty following the company’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing. Secondary-market marks have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, amid softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With approximately 200 million monthly active users and annualized recurring revenue estimates of $600–900 million, trader consensus centers on a first-day market cap in the high-single to low-double-digit billions if an offering occurs. Persistent delays, absent a public prospectus, and a crowded 2026–2027 calendar sustain the 22% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$50,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s closely matched Polymarket odds—led by the 8–11B and 11–14B brackets at roughly 24% and 23.5% implied probability—reflect valuation compression and IPO timing uncertainty following the company’s confidential January 2026 S-1 filing. Secondary-market marks have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, amid softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With approximately 200 million monthly active users and annualized recurring revenue estimates of $600–900 million, trader consensus centers on a first-day market cap in the high-single to low-double-digit billions if an offering occurs. Persistent delays, absent a public prospectus, and a crowded 2026–2027 calendar sustain the 22% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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