SpaceX's June 2026 Nasdaq IPO under ticker SPCX triggered immediate inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 via fast-track rules, yet S&P Dow Jones Indices explicitly declined to relax its criteria for mega-cap listings. The 12-month seasoning period alone bars eligibility before June 2027, while GAAP profitability requirements remain unmet given ongoing net losses and a sub-10% public float. These barriers, reaffirmed in S&P's June 4 statement, underpin the 98.5% market-implied odds against 2026 addition. Tail risks include an unforeseen methodology overhaul or rapid profitability turnaround, though both face substantial institutional and regulatory hurdles that traders price as remote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateView resolved

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