**Close competition among frontier labs for third place in Text Arena Math stems from Anthropic and OpenAI models dominating recent math benchmarks like MathArena and LiveBench, while several contenders post near-identical scores on reasoning tasks.** Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series have set high bars in competition-level problem solving, yet Chinese labs including Moonshot’s Kimi, Alibaba’s Qwen, and Google’s Gemini remain within striking distance based on August 2026 leaderboards. Traders price Google and Alibaba highest among named options due to their consistent benchmark gains and rapid iteration cycles, while broad uncertainty around “Other” or unnamed labs reflects the speed of capability jumps. Key catalysts through October include new model drops, benchmark refreshes, and any announced training runs that could shift relative math performance before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 22%
Alibaba 21%
Moonshot 20%
Microsoft 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
22%
Alibaba
21%
Moonshot
12%
Microsoft
18%
OpenAI
16%
Meta
14%
Baidu
10%
Z.ai
8%
Mistral
8%
Anthropic
7%
Meituan
6%
Bytedance
6%
Nvidia
4%
MiniMax
4%
Xiaomi
1%
StepFun
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Amazon
1%
Google 22%
Alibaba 21%
Moonshot 20%
Microsoft 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
$96 Vol.
22%
Alibaba
$145 Vol.
21%
Moonshot
$130 Vol.
12%
Microsoft
$143 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$259 Vol.
16%
Meta
$120 Vol.
14%
Baidu
$150 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$230 Vol.
8%
Mistral
$229 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$120 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$347 Vol.
6%
Bytedance
$222 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$188 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$226 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$120 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$111 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$115 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$105 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$105 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$120 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Close competition among frontier labs for third place in Text Arena Math stems from Anthropic and OpenAI models dominating recent math benchmarks like MathArena and LiveBench, while several contenders post near-identical scores on reasoning tasks.** Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series have set high bars in competition-level problem solving, yet Chinese labs including Moonshot’s Kimi, Alibaba’s Qwen, and Google’s Gemini remain within striking distance based on August 2026 leaderboards. Traders price Google and Alibaba highest among named options due to their consistent benchmark gains and rapid iteration cycles, while broad uncertainty around “Other” or unnamed labs reflects the speed of capability jumps. Key catalysts through October include new model drops, benchmark refreshes, and any announced training runs that could shift relative math performance before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$3,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Close competition among frontier labs for third place in Text Arena Math stems from Anthropic and OpenAI models dominating recent math benchmarks like MathArena and LiveBench, while several contenders post near-identical scores on reasoning tasks.** Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series have set high bars in competition-level problem solving, yet Chinese labs including Moonshot’s Kimi, Alibaba’s Qwen, and Google’s Gemini remain within striking distance based on August 2026 leaderboards. Traders price Google and Alibaba highest among named options due to their consistent benchmark gains and rapid iteration cycles, while broad uncertainty around “Other” or unnamed labs reflects the speed of capability jumps. Key catalysts through October include new model drops, benchmark refreshes, and any announced training runs that could shift relative math performance before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,281Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Close competition among frontier labs for third place in Text Arena Math stems from Anthropic and OpenAI models dominating recent math benchmarks like MathArena and LiveBench, while several contenders post near-identical scores on reasoning tasks.** Recent releases such as Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 variants and OpenAI’s GPT-5 series have set high bars in competition-level problem solving, yet Chinese labs including Moonshot’s Kimi, Alibaba’s Qwen, and Google’s Gemini remain within striking distance based on August 2026 leaderboards. Traders price Google and Alibaba highest among named options due to their consistent benchmark gains and rapid iteration cycles, while broad uncertainty around “Other” or unnamed labs reflects the speed of capability jumps. Key catalysts through October include new model drops, benchmark refreshes, and any announced training runs that could shift relative math performance before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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