Anthropic holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability for the best AI model by end of November, driven by its recent Claude series releases that have demonstrated strong benchmark performance in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to peers. Traders appear to view the company's focused scaling and safety-oriented development as providing a sustained edge in the competitive large language model landscape, while OpenAI and Google sit at just 8.5% and 7.0% amid slower visible progress on flagship updates. Multiple other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming model drops or capability jumps could close the gap before the resolution date. Key catalysts ahead include any major benchmark releases or partnership announcements that could shift sentiment in this fast-moving sector.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
SpaceXAI 4.4%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
78%
OpenAI
9%
7%
SpaceXAI
4%
Baidu
4%
Mistral
4%
Amazon
4%
ByteDance
4%
Moonshot
3%
StepFun
3%
Nvidia
3%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Thinky
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meituan
1%
Tencent
1%
Anthropic 78%
OpenAI 9%
Google 7%
SpaceXAI 4.4%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$713 Vol.
78%
OpenAI
$334 Vol.
9%
$277 Vol.
7%
SpaceXAI
$125 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$157 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$111 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$158 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$155 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$123 Vol.
3%
StepFun
$186 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$158 Vol.
3%
Meta
$123 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$84 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$156 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$120 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$74 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$74 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$123 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$74 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$74 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$74 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability for the best AI model by end of November, driven by its recent Claude series releases that have demonstrated strong benchmark performance in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to peers. Traders appear to view the company's focused scaling and safety-oriented development as providing a sustained edge in the competitive large language model landscape, while OpenAI and Google sit at just 8.5% and 7.0% amid slower visible progress on flagship updates. Multiple other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming model drops or capability jumps could close the gap before the resolution date. Key catalysts ahead include any major benchmark releases or partnership announcements that could shift sentiment in this fast-moving sector.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volume
$3,474Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability for the best AI model by end of November, driven by its recent Claude series releases that have demonstrated strong benchmark performance in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to peers. Traders appear to view the company's focused scaling and safety-oriented development as providing a sustained edge in the competitive large language model landscape, while OpenAI and Google sit at just 8.5% and 7.0% amid slower visible progress on flagship updates. Multiple other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming model drops or capability jumps could close the gap before the resolution date. Key catalysts ahead include any major benchmark releases or partnership announcements that could shift sentiment in this fast-moving sector.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,474Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability for the best AI model by end of November, driven by its recent Claude series releases that have demonstrated strong benchmark performance in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks relative to peers. Traders appear to view the company's focused scaling and safety-oriented development as providing a sustained edge in the competitive large language model landscape, while OpenAI and Google sit at just 8.5% and 7.0% amid slower visible progress on flagship updates. Multiple other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting uncertainty over whether upcoming model drops or capability jumps could close the gap before the resolution date. Key catalysts ahead include any major benchmark releases or partnership announcements that could shift sentiment in this fast-moving sector.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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