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icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Teknolohiya·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Teknolohiya·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 98.8%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,704,573 Vol.

Anthropic 98.8%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,704,573 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$827,168 Vol.

99%

icon for Google

Google

$332,092 Vol.

1%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$695,212 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$415,236 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$179,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$83,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$65,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$139,721 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$34,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$348,820 Vol.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$182,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$28,749 Vol.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$88,965 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$39,539 Vol.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$15,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$34,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$36,341 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$19,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$71,085 Vol.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$22,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$44,694 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, drives the overwhelming market consensus that the company holds the strongest large language model heading into late September. Independent leaderboards such as BenchLM and Artificial Analysis show the model leading or tying on coding, agentic workflows, and overall intelligence indices, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (launched September 3) and prior Claude variants on key benchmarks while maintaining competitive pricing and a 1M-token context window. Traders view the fresh release and sustained top rankings as decisive with only days remaining. A last-minute superior update from OpenAI or Google, or an unexpected benchmark reversal on newly released evaluations, could still shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,704,573
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, drives the overwhelming market consensus that the company holds the strongest large language model heading into late September. Independent leaderboards such as BenchLM and Artificial Analysis show the model leading or tying on coding, agentic workflows, and overall intelligence indices, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (launched September 3) and prior Claude variants on key benchmarks while maintaining competitive pricing and a 1M-token context window. Traders view the fresh release and sustained top rankings as decisive with only days remaining. A last-minute superior update from OpenAI or Google, or an unexpected benchmark reversal on newly released evaluations, could still shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,704,573
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?

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Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

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icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

89%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Anthropic" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Google" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" ay naka-generate ng $3.7 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which company has the best AI model end of September?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" ay "Anthropic" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Google" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.