Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 launch in the coming days, set against Anthropic’s rapid 2026 cadence of large language model updates every few weeks. The July 24 release of Opus 5 followed Sonnet 5 by under a month, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 kept momentum high, while a September 17 company update highlighted Claude leading 26% of internal R&D and optimizing biomolecular models. With no official announcement, model card, or pricing confirmation yet, probabilities cluster tightly between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” underscoring uncertainty over exact timing versus potential delays in a competitive frontier AI environment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Claude Opus released on...?
Next Claude Opus released on...?
No release by September 30 20%
September 24 19%
September 23 18%
September 22 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
<1%
September 18
1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
6%
September 22
22%
September 23
18%
September 24
19%
September 25
12%
September 26
<1%
September 27
<1%
September 28
9%
September 29
13%
September 30
7%
No release by September 30
20%
No release by September 30 20%
September 24 19%
September 23 18%
September 22 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
$620 Vol.
<1%
September 18
$156 Vol.
1%
September 19
$603 Vol.
1%
September 20
$624 Vol.
1%
September 21
$134 Vol.
6%
September 22
$579 Vol.
22%
September 23
$573 Vol.
18%
September 24
$996 Vol.
19%
September 25
$132 Vol.
12%
September 26
$553 Vol.
<1%
September 27
$553 Vol.
<1%
September 28
$184 Vol.
9%
September 29
$689 Vol.
13%
September 30
$390 Vol.
7%
No release by September 30
$1,400 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 launch in the coming days, set against Anthropic’s rapid 2026 cadence of large language model updates every few weeks. The July 24 release of Opus 5 followed Sonnet 5 by under a month, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 kept momentum high, while a September 17 company update highlighted Claude leading 26% of internal R&D and optimizing biomolecular models. With no official announcement, model card, or pricing confirmation yet, probabilities cluster tightly between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” underscoring uncertainty over exact timing versus potential delays in a competitive frontier AI environment.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Volume
$8,339Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 launch in the coming days, set against Anthropic’s rapid 2026 cadence of large language model updates every few weeks. The July 24 release of Opus 5 followed Sonnet 5 by under a month, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 kept momentum high, while a September 17 company update highlighted Claude leading 26% of internal R&D and optimizing biomolecular models. With no official announcement, model card, or pricing confirmation yet, probabilities cluster tightly between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” underscoring uncertainty over exact timing versus potential delays in a competitive frontier AI environment.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,339Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release reflects circulating rumors of an Opus 5.2 launch in the coming days, set against Anthropic’s rapid 2026 cadence of large language model updates every few weeks. The July 24 release of Opus 5 followed Sonnet 5 by under a month, and the September 1 launch of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 kept momentum high, while a September 17 company update highlighted Claude leading 26% of internal R&D and optimizing biomolecular models. With no official announcement, model card, or pricing confirmation yet, probabilities cluster tightly between September 22–25 and “no release by September 30,” underscoring uncertainty over exact timing versus potential delays in a competitive frontier AI environment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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