Anthropic's release of the Claude 5 family—Sonnet 5 in late June 2026, Fable 5 in early June, and Opus 5 on July 24—has become the dominant factor shaping expectations for the next Haiku model, as the lightweight tier has historically lagged flagship updates by several months to refine efficiency and cost. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the current version, delivering near-Sonnet 4 performance on coding and agent benchmarks at $1/$5 per million tokens while adding extended thinking. Traders are watching for signs of a Haiku 5 or 4.6 that matches the new 5-series capabilities at lower latency, with potential catalysts including Anthropic's next earnings update, developer conference appearances, or API changelog hints. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Google models adds further incentive for a timely refresh.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
6%
October 31
61%
December 31
59%
$6,057 Vol.
August 31
$1,527 Vol.
6%
October 31
$823 Vol.
61%
December 31
$3,707 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of the Claude 5 family—Sonnet 5 in late June 2026, Fable 5 in early June, and Opus 5 on July 24—has become the dominant factor shaping expectations for the next Haiku model, as the lightweight tier has historically lagged flagship updates by several months to refine efficiency and cost. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the current version, delivering near-Sonnet 4 performance on coding and agent benchmarks at $1/$5 per million tokens while adding extended thinking. Traders are watching for signs of a Haiku 5 or 4.6 that matches the new 5-series capabilities at lower latency, with potential catalysts including Anthropic's next earnings update, developer conference appearances, or API changelog hints. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Google models adds further incentive for a timely refresh.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$6,057Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of the Claude 5 family—Sonnet 5 in late June 2026, Fable 5 in early June, and Opus 5 on July 24—has become the dominant factor shaping expectations for the next Haiku model, as the lightweight tier has historically lagged flagship updates by several months to refine efficiency and cost. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the current version, delivering near-Sonnet 4 performance on coding and agent benchmarks at $1/$5 per million tokens while adding extended thinking. Traders are watching for signs of a Haiku 5 or 4.6 that matches the new 5-series capabilities at lower latency, with potential catalysts including Anthropic's next earnings update, developer conference appearances, or API changelog hints. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Google models adds further incentive for a timely refresh.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,057Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release of the Claude 5 family—Sonnet 5 in late June 2026, Fable 5 in early June, and Opus 5 on July 24—has become the dominant factor shaping expectations for the next Haiku model, as the lightweight tier has historically lagged flagship updates by several months to refine efficiency and cost. Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the current version, delivering near-Sonnet 4 performance on coding and agent benchmarks at $1/$5 per million tokens while adding extended thinking. Traders are watching for signs of a Haiku 5 or 4.6 that matches the new 5-series capabilities at lower latency, with potential catalysts including Anthropic's next earnings update, developer conference appearances, or API changelog hints. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Google models adds further incentive for a timely refresh.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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