Google's Gemini 3 series leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math category through October due to consistent gains on competition-level benchmarks like MATH and AIME, where extended reasoning modes have narrowed gaps with the presumed leader. Traders see Alibaba's Qwen and Z.ai models as credible challengers given rapid iteration on Chinese labs' efficient architectures, while DeepSeek and OpenAI trail in the odds amid questions over whether their latest releases maintain the edge in specialized math evaluations. The tight spread among top contenders reflects converging frontier performance across U.S. and Chinese developers, with differentiation now hinging on verifiable benchmark updates, cost-performance tradeoffs, and any surprise model drops before the October close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 40%
Alibaba 20%
Nvidia 9.3%
Xiaomi 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
40%
Alibaba
20%
Nvidia
9%
Xiaomi
9%
Z.ai
15%
Anthropic
5%
DeepSeek
5%
OpenAI
5%
ByteDance
5%
Meituan
4%
Amazon
4%
Baidu
4%
Meta
4%
Microsoft
4%
StepFun
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Tencent
2%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Google 40%
Alibaba 20%
Nvidia 9.3%
Xiaomi 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 31, 2026
$2,868 Vol.
40%
Alibaba
$304 Vol.
20%
Nvidia
$228 Vol.
9%
Xiaomi
$62 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$170 Vol.
15%
Anthropic
$100 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$66 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$89 Vol.
5%
ByteDance
$132 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$483 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$194 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$64 Vol.
4%
Meta
$64 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$260 Vol.
4%
StepFun
$147 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$64 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$59 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$217 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$99 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3 series leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math category through October due to consistent gains on competition-level benchmarks like MATH and AIME, where extended reasoning modes have narrowed gaps with the presumed leader. Traders see Alibaba's Qwen and Z.ai models as credible challengers given rapid iteration on Chinese labs' efficient architectures, while DeepSeek and OpenAI trail in the odds amid questions over whether their latest releases maintain the edge in specialized math evaluations. The tight spread among top contenders reflects converging frontier performance across U.S. and Chinese developers, with differentiation now hinging on verifiable benchmark updates, cost-performance tradeoffs, and any surprise model drops before the October close.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$5,803Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3 series leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math category through October due to consistent gains on competition-level benchmarks like MATH and AIME, where extended reasoning modes have narrowed gaps with the presumed leader. Traders see Alibaba's Qwen and Z.ai models as credible challengers given rapid iteration on Chinese labs' efficient architectures, while DeepSeek and OpenAI trail in the odds amid questions over whether their latest releases maintain the edge in specialized math evaluations. The tight spread among top contenders reflects converging frontier performance across U.S. and Chinese developers, with differentiation now hinging on verifiable benchmark updates, cost-performance tradeoffs, and any surprise model drops before the October close.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$5,803Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini 3 series leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math category through October due to consistent gains on competition-level benchmarks like MATH and AIME, where extended reasoning modes have narrowed gaps with the presumed leader. Traders see Alibaba's Qwen and Z.ai models as credible challengers given rapid iteration on Chinese labs' efficient architectures, while DeepSeek and OpenAI trail in the odds amid questions over whether their latest releases maintain the edge in specialized math evaluations. The tight spread among top contenders reflects converging frontier performance across U.S. and Chinese developers, with differentiation now hinging on verifiable benchmark updates, cost-performance tradeoffs, and any surprise model drops before the October close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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