Anthropic’s rapid release cadence for its Opus line—most recently Claude Opus 5 on July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1—drives current trader focus on a near-term next Opus update, likely an iterative 5.x variant. The company emphasizes efficiency gains, stronger agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and closer parity to its top-tier Mythos-class models at lower cost, while maintaining safety classifiers that route restricted tasks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with leaks about routing tests and benchmark improvements, has sustained momentum despite no official announcement. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm timing or new capabilities like expanded context handling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$149,919 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
1%
September 20
8%
September 24
57%
September 27
71%
September 30
81%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$149,919 Vol.
September 17
$10,505 Vol.
1%
September 20
$4,391 Vol.
8%
September 24
$4,315 Vol.
57%
September 27
$3,513 Vol.
71%
September 30
$67,032 Vol.
81%
October 31
$13,502 Vol.
98%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid release cadence for its Opus line—most recently Claude Opus 5 on July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1—drives current trader focus on a near-term next Opus update, likely an iterative 5.x variant. The company emphasizes efficiency gains, stronger agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and closer parity to its top-tier Mythos-class models at lower cost, while maintaining safety classifiers that route restricted tasks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with leaks about routing tests and benchmark improvements, has sustained momentum despite no official announcement. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm timing or new capabilities like expanded context handling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$149,919Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid release cadence for its Opus line—most recently Claude Opus 5 on July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1—drives current trader focus on a near-term next Opus update, likely an iterative 5.x variant. The company emphasizes efficiency gains, stronger agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and closer parity to its top-tier Mythos-class models at lower cost, while maintaining safety classifiers that route restricted tasks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with leaks about routing tests and benchmark improvements, has sustained momentum despite no official announcement. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm timing or new capabilities like expanded context handling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$149,919Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid release cadence for its Opus line—most recently Claude Opus 5 on July 24, followed by Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1—drives current trader focus on a near-term next Opus update, likely an iterative 5.x variant. The company emphasizes efficiency gains, stronger agentic coding, adaptive thinking, and closer parity to its top-tier Mythos-class models at lower cost, while maintaining safety classifiers that route restricted tasks. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with leaks about routing tests and benchmark improvements, has sustained momentum despite no official announcement. Key near-term catalysts include potential developer conferences or API documentation updates that could confirm timing or new capabilities like expanded context handling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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