The tightly clustered market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI labs to rank as the second-best AI agent developer by late November. OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment, followed by Anthropic, while Meta, DeepSeek, and Moonshot sit just behind amid ongoing model releases and capability benchmarks. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real-world task completion rather than raw language model scale alone. Recent releases and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning, with platform integrations, developer adoption, and safety benchmarks serving as key swing factors. Upcoming announcements or new evaluations could quickly alter the current near-even consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 9%
Alibaba 7.4%

OpenAI
50%

Anthropic
18%

Moonshot
9%

Alibaba
7%

7%

SpaceXAI
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Meta
4%

Mistral
4%

Microsoft
4%

Z.ai
4%

ByteDance
3%

Meituan
3%

Xiaomi
3%

Amazon
3%

Nvidia
3%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Tencent
1%
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
Moonshot 9%
Alibaba 7.4%

OpenAI
50%

Anthropic
18%

Moonshot
9%

Alibaba
7%

7%

SpaceXAI
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Meta
4%

Mistral
4%

Microsoft
4%

Z.ai
4%

ByteDance
3%

Meituan
3%

Xiaomi
3%

Amazon
3%

Nvidia
3%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Tencent
1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered market-implied odds reflect intense competition among leading AI labs to rank as the second-best AI agent developer by late November. OpenAI holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment, followed by Anthropic, while Meta, DeepSeek, and Moonshot sit just behind amid ongoing model releases and capability benchmarks. Labs differentiate through demonstrated agentic performance in multi-step reasoning, tool use, and real-world task completion rather than raw language model scale alone. Recent releases and third-party evaluations continue to shift relative positioning, with platform integrations, developer adoption, and safety benchmarks serving as key swing factors. Upcoming announcements or new evaluations could quickly alter the current near-even consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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