Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability reflects the sustained impact of Claude Opus 4.7’s April 2026 release, which delivered leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and strong adaptive-reasoning scores. Traders view this model’s combination of 1M-token context, low hallucination rates, and reliable tool-use as the current frontier for complex, multi-step tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro sits at 21% due to competitive accuracy on ARC-AGI-2 and GPQA but trails slightly in developer adoption and real-world agent performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, holds just 6% as its gains in math and efficiency have not yet displaced Claude’s edge. With no major new frontier releases confirmed before late June, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
Anthropic 71.5%
Google 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.4%
$5,907,809 Vol.
$5,907,809 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
72%
21%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 71.5%
Google 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.4%
$5,907,809 Vol.
$5,907,809 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$834,824 Vol.
72%
$526,680 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$336,484 Vol.
6%
xAI
$1,061,695 Vol.
1%
Meta
$131,535 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$499,358 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$158,426 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$298,386 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$478,488 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$151,623 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$155,130 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$377,077 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$359,634 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$377,731 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$160,740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability reflects the sustained impact of Claude Opus 4.7’s April 2026 release, which delivered leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and strong adaptive-reasoning scores. Traders view this model’s combination of 1M-token context, low hallucination rates, and reliable tool-use as the current frontier for complex, multi-step tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro sits at 21% due to competitive accuracy on ARC-AGI-2 and GPQA but trails slightly in developer adoption and real-world agent performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, holds just 6% as its gains in math and efficiency have not yet displaced Claude’s edge. With no major new frontier releases confirmed before late June, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,907,809Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability reflects the sustained impact of Claude Opus 4.7’s April 2026 release, which delivered leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and strong adaptive-reasoning scores. Traders view this model’s combination of 1M-token context, low hallucination rates, and reliable tool-use as the current frontier for complex, multi-step tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro sits at 21% due to competitive accuracy on ARC-AGI-2 and GPQA but trails slightly in developer adoption and real-world agent performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, holds just 6% as its gains in math and efficiency have not yet displaced Claude’s edge. With no major new frontier releases confirmed before late June, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$5,907,809Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s dominant 71.5% implied probability reflects the sustained impact of Claude Opus 4.7’s April 2026 release, which delivered leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and strong adaptive-reasoning scores. Traders view this model’s combination of 1M-token context, low hallucination rates, and reliable tool-use as the current frontier for complex, multi-step tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro sits at 21% due to competitive accuracy on ARC-AGI-2 and GPQA but trails slightly in developer adoption and real-world agent performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, holds just 6% as its gains in math and efficiency have not yet displaced Claude’s edge. With no major new frontier releases confirmed before late June, traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of shifting the consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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