Anthropic’s recent model releases and demonstrated capabilities in coding and agentic workflows are driving the 92.5% market-implied probability that it holds the best large language model by end of May. The April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 followed by May Dev Day updates, including memory tools and multi-agent orchestration, plus early previews of Mythos showing strong performance on software engineering benchmarks and zero-day vulnerability detection, have reinforced trader consensus around its current edge. Google’s Gemini series and OpenAI’s latest GPT variants trail at 7.5% and 0.8% respectively amid steady but less differentiated updates. A late-May frontier release from another lab or new third-party benchmarks shifting leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,682,817 Vol.
$8,682,817 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,682,817 Vol.
$8,682,817 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$626,974 Vol.
93%
$573,732 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$725,227 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$533,120 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$540,245 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$503,753 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$512,555 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$656,249 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$517,535 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,917 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$469,788 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$401,673 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,421,640 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,904 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$412,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent model releases and demonstrated capabilities in coding and agentic workflows are driving the 92.5% market-implied probability that it holds the best large language model by end of May. The April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 followed by May Dev Day updates, including memory tools and multi-agent orchestration, plus early previews of Mythos showing strong performance on software engineering benchmarks and zero-day vulnerability detection, have reinforced trader consensus around its current edge. Google’s Gemini series and OpenAI’s latest GPT variants trail at 7.5% and 0.8% respectively amid steady but less differentiated updates. A late-May frontier release from another lab or new third-party benchmarks shifting leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$8,682,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent model releases and demonstrated capabilities in coding and agentic workflows are driving the 92.5% market-implied probability that it holds the best large language model by end of May. The April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 followed by May Dev Day updates, including memory tools and multi-agent orchestration, plus early previews of Mythos showing strong performance on software engineering benchmarks and zero-day vulnerability detection, have reinforced trader consensus around its current edge. Google’s Gemini series and OpenAI’s latest GPT variants trail at 7.5% and 0.8% respectively amid steady but less differentiated updates. A late-May frontier release from another lab or new third-party benchmarks shifting leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$8,682,817Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent model releases and demonstrated capabilities in coding and agentic workflows are driving the 92.5% market-implied probability that it holds the best large language model by end of May. The April launch of Claude Opus 4.7 followed by May Dev Day updates, including memory tools and multi-agent orchestration, plus early previews of Mythos showing strong performance on software engineering benchmarks and zero-day vulnerability detection, have reinforced trader consensus around its current edge. Google’s Gemini series and OpenAI’s latest GPT variants trail at 7.5% and 0.8% respectively amid steady but less differentiated updates. A late-May frontier release from another lab or new third-party benchmarks shifting leaderboards could still narrow the gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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