Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the AI developer's aggressive private funding pursuits, including early talks reported this week for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation—up sharply from $380 billion earlier this year. Backed by massive commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion), Anthropic's Claude large language models are fueling $30 billion-plus revenue run rates, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile tech listings. Historical precedents for frontier AI labs like OpenAI show extended private phases to consolidate gains. A surprise S-1 filing or abrupt market shift could challenge this, but with just six weeks left and transfer restrictions on shares intact, delays remain the baseline expectation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAntropiko IPO Closing Market Cap
Antropiko IPO Closing Market Cap
Walang IPO bago o sa Hunyo 30, 2026 98.6%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
300–400B <1%
$1,290,899 Vol.
$1,290,899 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
$400–$600B
<1%
600B+
1%
Walang IPO bago o sa Hunyo 30, 2026
99%
Walang IPO bago o sa Hunyo 30, 2026 98.6%
600B+ <1%
<100B <1%
300–400B <1%
$1,290,899 Vol.
$1,290,899 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$259,642 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$91,548 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$147,181 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$98,599 Vol.
<1%
$400–$600B
$160,884 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$285,097 Vol.
1%
Walang IPO bago o sa Hunyo 30, 2026
$247,949 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the AI developer's aggressive private funding pursuits, including early talks reported this week for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation—up sharply from $380 billion earlier this year. Backed by massive commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion), Anthropic's Claude large language models are fueling $30 billion-plus revenue run rates, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile tech listings. Historical precedents for frontier AI labs like OpenAI show extended private phases to consolidate gains. A surprise S-1 filing or abrupt market shift could challenge this, but with just six weeks left and transfer restrictions on shares intact, delays remain the baseline expectation.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,290,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the AI developer's aggressive private funding pursuits, including early talks reported this week for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation—up sharply from $380 billion earlier this year. Backed by massive commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion), Anthropic's Claude large language models are fueling $30 billion-plus revenue run rates, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile tech listings. Historical precedents for frontier AI labs like OpenAI show extended private phases to consolidate gains. A surprise S-1 filing or abrupt market shift could challenge this, but with just six weeks left and transfer restrictions on shares intact, delays remain the baseline expectation.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,290,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the AI developer's aggressive private funding pursuits, including early talks reported this week for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation—up sharply from $380 billion earlier this year. Backed by massive commitments from Amazon ($25 billion) and Google ($40 billion), Anthropic's Claude large language models are fueling $30 billion-plus revenue run rates, reducing urgency for public markets amid volatile tech listings. Historical precedents for frontier AI labs like OpenAI show extended private phases to consolidate gains. A surprise S-1 filing or abrupt market shift could challenge this, but with just six weeks left and transfer restrictions on shares intact, delays remain the baseline expectation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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